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Time series and sequential data have gained significant attention recently since many real-world processes in various domains such as finance, education, biology, and engineering can be modeled as time series. Although many algorithms and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Manie Tadayon , Greg Pottie

As a popular tool for producing meaningful and interpretable models, large-scale sparse learning works efficiently when the underlying structures are indeed or close to sparse. However, naively applying the existing regularization methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Zemin Zheng , Jinchi Lv , Wei Lin

We provide a formulation for Local Support Vector Machines (LSVMs) that generalizes previous formulations, and brings out the explicit connections to local polynomial learning used in nonparametric estimation literature. We investigate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-23 Ravi Ganti , Alexander Gray

In practice, there often exist unobserved variables, also termed hidden variables, associated with both the response and covariates. Existing works in the literature mostly focus on linear regression with hidden variables. However, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Inbeom Lee , Yang Ning

We give a simple, generic conformal prediction method for sequential prediction that achieves target empirical coverage guarantees against adversarially chosen data. It is computationally lightweight -- comparable to split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Osbert Bastani , Varun Gupta , Christopher Jung , Georgy Noarov , Ramya Ramalingam , Aaron Roth

Markov state models (MSMs) have been successful in computing metastable states, slow relaxation timescales and associated structural changes, and stationary or kinetic experimental observables of complex molecules from large amounts of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Frank Noe , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Nuria Plattner

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

We present Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI), an approach to perform Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods. SNVI combines likelihood-estimation (or likelihood-ratio-estimation) with variational inference to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) has been widely applied in large scale Bayesian inference. However MFVI, which assumes a product distribution on the latent variables, often leads to objective functions with many local optima, making…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Mingzhang Yin , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Purnamrita Sarkar

Precisely forecasting wind speed is essential for wind power producers and grid operators. However, this task is challenging due to the stochasticity of wind speed. To accurately predict short-term wind speed under uncertainties, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Sisheng Liang , Long Nguyen , Fang Jin

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

We introduce the Locally Linear Latent Variable Model (LL-LVM), a probabilistic model for non-linear manifold discovery that describes a joint distribution over observations, their manifold coordinates and locally linear maps conditioned on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-02 Mijung Park , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Ahmad Qamar , Zoltan Szabo , Lars Buesing , Maneesh Sahani

Latent variable models are powerful tools for modeling complex phenomena involving in particular partially observed data, unobserved variables or underlying complex unknown structures. Inference is often difficult due to the latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Charlotte Baey , Maud Delattre , Estelle Kuhn , Jean-Benoist Leger , Sarah Lemler

Classification and probability estimation are fundamental tasks with broad applications across modern machine learning and data science, spanning fields such as biology, medicine, engineering, and computer science. Recent development of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Liyun Zeng , Hao Helen Zhang

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

We give two provably accurate feature-selection techniques for the linear SVM. The algorithms run in deterministic and randomized time respectively. Our algorithms can be used in an unsupervised or supervised setting. The supervised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-09 Saurabh Paul , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Petros Drineas

Stochastic modeling has become a popular approach to quantify uncertainty in flows through heterogeneous porous media. The uncertainty in heterogeneous structure properties is often parameterized by a high-dimensional random variable. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Lijian Jiang , J. David Moulton , Jia Wei

As enjoying the closed form solution, least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) has been widely used for classification and regression problems having the comparable performance with other types of SVMs. However, LSSVM has two drawbacks:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Li Chen , Shuisheng Zhou

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

Structured prediction requires manipulating a large number of combinatorial structures, e.g., dependency trees or alignments, either as latent or output variables. Recently, the SparseMAP method has been proposed as a differentiable, sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Vlad Niculae , André F. T. Martins