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Attribution methods explain neural network predictions by identifying influential input features, but their evaluation suffers from threshold selection bias that can reverse method rankings and undermine conclusions. Current protocols…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Serra Aksoy

Cross-validation is a statistical tool that can be used to improve large covariance matrix estimation. Although its efficiency is observed in practical applications and a convergence result towards the error of the non linear shrinkage is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Lamia Lamrani , Christian Bongiorno , Marc Potters

Network meta-analysis (NMA) synthesizes evidence for multiple treatments, but decisions on node formation can have important statistical implications including bias or inflated uncertainty. Existing data-driven methods often lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Timothy Disher , Chris Cameron , Brian Hutton

Standard nonlinear regression is commonly used when modeling indifference points due to its ability to closely follow observed data, resulting in a good model fit. However, standard nonlinear regression currently lacks a reasonable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Mingang Kim , Mikhail N. Koffarnus , Christopher T Franck

Tomographic reconstruction is an ill-posed inverse problem that calls for regularization. One possibility is to require sparsity of the unknown in an orthonormal wavelet basis. This in turn can be achieved by variational regularization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Zenith Purisha , Juho Rimpeläinen , Tatiana Bubba , Samuli Siltanen

Threshold effects in the estimation of parameters of non-linearly modulated, continuous-time, wide-band waveforms, are examined from a statistical physics perspective. These threshold effects are shown to be analogous to phase transitions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-05-21 Neri Merhav

Designs conditions for marine structures are typically informed by threshold-based extreme value analyses of oceanographic variables, in which excesses of a high threshold are modelled by a generalized Pareto (GP) distribution. Too low a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-02 Paul Northrop , Nicolas Attalides , Philip Jonathan

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Standard regression approaches assume that some finite number of the response distribution characteristics, such as location and scale, change as a (parametric or nonparametric) function of predictors. However, it is not always appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Fernand A. Quintana , Peter Mueller , Alejandro Jara , Steven N. MacEachern

In [Lavielle and Ludena 07], a random thresholding metho d is intro duced to select the significant, or non null, mean terms among a collection of independent random variables, and applied to the problem of recovering the significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-27 Merlin Keller , Marc Lavielle

We introduce a novel procedure for obtaining cross-validated predictive estimates for Bayesian hierarchical regression models (BHRMs). Bayesian hierarchical models are popular for their ability to model complex dependence structures and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-01 Amy X. Zhang , Le Bao , Changcheng Li , Michael J. Daniels

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

Accurately calculating time delays between signals is pivotal in many modern physics applications. One approach to estimating these delays is computing the cross-spectrum in the time-frequency domain. Linear time-frequency representations,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 L. de A. Gurgel , J. M. de Araújo , L. D. Machado , P. D. S. de Lima

We consider linear inverse problems in a nonparametric statistical framework. Both the signal and the operator are unknown and subject to error measurements. We establish minimax rates of convergence under squared error loss when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-16 S. Delattre , M. Hoffmann , D. Picard , T. Vareschi

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We analyse the wavelet shrinkage algorithm of Donoho and Johnstone in order to assess the quality of the reconstruction of a signal obtained from noisy samples. We prove deviation bounds for the maximum of the squares of the error, and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Dawei Hong , Jean-Camille Birget

Suppose (standardized) measurements or statistics are monitored to raise an alarm when a threshold is exceeded. Often, the underlying population is heterogenous with respect to important discrete variables and thus samples may consist of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Ansgar Steland

In this paper, we are concerned with how to select significant variables in semiparametric modeling. Variable selection for semiparametric regression models consists of two components: model selection for nonparametric components and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Runze Li , Hua Liang

Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang
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