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Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

Experiments deliver credible treatment-effect estimates but, because they are costly, are often restricted to specific sites, small populations, or particular mechanisms. A common practice across several fields is therefore to combine…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Aristotelis Epanomeritakis , Davide Viviano

Matched-pair experimental designs aim to detect treatment effects by pairing participants and comparing within-pair outcome differences. In many situations, the overall effect size across the entire population is small. Then, the focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Weizhi Li , Gautam Dasarathy , Visar Berisha

Drugs are frequently prescribed to patients with the aim of improving each patient's medical state, but an unfortunate consequence of most prescription drugs is the occurrence of undesirable side effects. Side effects that occur in more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Jenna Reps , Jonathan M. Garibaldi , Uwe Aickelin , Daniele Soria , Jack E. Gibson , Richard B. Hubbard

We propose a framework for testing the homogeneity of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across multiple experimental and observational studies. Our approach leverages multiple randomized trials to assess whether treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Ana Armendariz , Martin Huber

Big longitudinal observational medical data potentially hold a wealth of information and have been recognised as potential sources for gaining new drug safety knowledge. Unfortunately there are many complexities and underlying issues when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Jenna Marie Reps , Jonathan M. Garibaldi , Uwe Aickelin , Jack E. Gibson , Richard B. Hubbard

Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) have been linked to a wide range of negative health outcomes in adulthood. However, few studies have investigated what specific combinations of ACEs most substantially impact mental health. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-25 Ruizhe Zhang , Jooyoung Kong , Dylan S. Small , William Bekerman

A fundamental limitation of causal inference in observational studies is that perceived evidence for an effect might instead be explained by factors not accounted for in the primary analysis. Methods for assessing the sensitivity of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-14 Colin B. Fogarty

In previous work, a novel supervised framework implementing a binary classifier was presented that obtained excellent results for side effect discovery. Interestingly, unique side effects were identified when different binary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-04 Jenna M. Reps , Uwe Aickelin , Jonathan M. Garibaldi

Scientific researchers utilize randomized experiments to draw casual statements. Most early studies as well as current work on experiments with sequential intervention decisions has been focusing on estimating the causal effects among…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Jingying Zeng

An ensemble of classifiers combines several single classifiers to deliver a final prediction or classification decision. An increasingly provoking question is whether such systems can outperform the single best classifier. If so, what form…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Bhekisipho Twala , Eamon Molloy

Complex or co-existing diseases are commonly treated using drug combinations, which can lead to higher risk of adverse side effects. The detection of polypharmacy side effects is usually done in Phase IV clinical trials, but there are still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-03 Andreea Deac , Yu-Hsiang Huang , Petar Veličković , Pietro Liò , Jian Tang

We study the problem of detecting adverse drug events in electronic healthcare records. The challenge in this work is to aggregate heterogeneous data types involving diagnosis codes, drug codes, as well as lab measurements. An earlier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Maria Bampa , Panagiotis Papapetrou

Inferring causality using longitudinal observational databases is challenging due to the passive way the data are collected. The majority of associations found within longitudinal observational data are often non-causal and occur due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Jenna Reps , Uwe Aickelin

Side effects of prescribed medications are a common occurrence. Electronic healthcare databases present the opportunity to identify new side effects efficiently but currently the methods are limited due to confounding (i.e. when an…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Jenna M. Reps , Uwe Aickelin , Jiangang Ma , Yanchun Zhang

Educational research often studies subjects that are in naturally clustered groups of classrooms or schools. When designing a randomized experiment to evaluate an intervention directed at teachers, but with effects on teachers and their…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-17 Brenda Jenney , Sharon Lohr

Matching is one of the most widely used study designs for adjusting for measured confounders in observational studies. However, unmeasured confounding may exist and cannot be removed by matching. Therefore, a sensitivity analysis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Jeffrey Zhang , Dylan Small , Siyu Heng

This paper considers the identification of dynamic treatment effects with panel data, in complex designs where the treatment may not be binary and may not be absorbing. We first show that under no-anticipation and parallel-trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Given n experiment subjects with potentially heterogeneous covariates and two possible treatments, namely active treatment and control, this paper addresses the fundamental question of determining the optimal accuracy in estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-13 Jiachun Li , David Simchi-Levi , Yunxiao Zhao

We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric inference approach for aggregate adverse event (AE) monitoring across studies. The proposed model seamlessly integrates external data from historical trials to define a relevant background rate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Shijie Yuan , Kevin Roberts , Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Yuan Ji , Peter Müller
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