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We present a method to compare spatial interaction models against data based on well known statistical measures that are appropriate for such models and data. We illustrate our approach using a widely used example: commuting data,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-09 B. Hilton , A. P. Sood , T. S. Evans

Spatial prediction problems often use Gaussian process models, which can be computationally burdensome in high dimensions. Specification of an appropriate covariance function for the model can be challenging when complex non-stationarities…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Qi Wang , Paul A. Parker , Robert B. Lund

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Stationary periodic patterns are widespread in natural sciences, ranging from nano-scale electrochemical and amphiphilic systems to mesoscale fluid, chemical and biological media and to macro-scale vegetation and cloud patterns. Their…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-07-03 Alon Z. Shapira , Hannes Uecker , Arik Yochelis

With large-scale Monte Carlo simulations, we investigate the nonsteady relaxation at the dynamic depinning transition in the two-dimensional Gaussian random-field Ising model. The dynamic scaling behavior is carefully analyzed, and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-21 Xiaohui Qian , Gaotian Yu , Nengji Zhou

Non-stationary sequences arise naturally in control, forecasting, and decision-making. The data-generating process shifts at unknown times, and models must detect the change, discard or downweight obsolete evidence, and adapt to new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Carson Dudley , Yutong Bi , Xiaofeng Liu , Samet Oymak

A crucial assumption to reduce computational complexity in spatial-temporal data analysis is separability, which factors the covariance structure into a purely spatial and a purely temporal component. In this paper, we develop statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Zihao Yuan

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

This paper concerns applications of variational analysis to some local aspects of behavioral science modeling by developing an effective variational rationality approach to these and related issues. Our main attention is paid to local…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Boris Mordukhovich , Antoine Soubeyran

Environmental and climate processes are often distributed over large space-time domains. Their complexity and the amount of available data make modelling and analysis a challenging task. Statistical modelling of environment and climate data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Behnaz Pirzamanbein

Extreme environmental phenomena such as major precipitation events manifestly exhibit spatial dependence. Max-stable processes are a class of asymptotically-justified models that are capable of representing spatial dependence among extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee

Study of recurrences in earthquakes, climate, financial time-series, etc. is crucial to better forecast disasters and limit their consequences. However, almost all the previous phenomenological studies involved only a long-ranged…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-11 Rémy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

We propose a flexible and robust nonparametric framework for testing spatial dependence in two- and three-dimensional random fields. Our approach involves converting spatial data into one-dimensional time series using space-filling Hilbert…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Christian H. Weiß , Philipp Adämmer

An important step of modeling spatially-referenced data is appropriately specifying the second order properties of the random field. A scientist developing a model for spatial data has a number of options regarding the nature of the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-17 Zachary D. Weller

Systems in nature are stochastic as well as nonlinear. In traditional applications, engineered filters aim to minimize the stochastic effects caused by process and measurement noise. Conversely, a previous study showed that the process…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-11 Burak Boyacıoğlu , Mahnoush Babaei , Amanuel H. Mamo , Sarah Bergbreiter , Thomas L. Daniel , Kristi A. Morgansen

Spatial connectivity is an important consideration when modelling infectious disease data across a geographical region. Connectivity can arise for many reasons, including shared characteristics between regions, and human or vector movement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Sophie A Lee , Theodoros Economou , Rachel Lowe

As the hunt for an Earth-like exoplanets has intensified in recent years, so has the effort to characterise and model the stellar signals that can hide or mimic small planetary signals. Stellar variability arises from a number of sources,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Niamh K. O'Sullivan , Suzanne Aigrain

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot