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Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

Current methods for sequence tagging, a core task in NLP, are data hungry, which motivates the use of crowdsourcing as a cheap way to obtain labelled data. However, annotators are often unreliable and current aggregation methods cannot…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

Adding domain knowledge to a learning system is known to improve results. In multi-parameter Bayesian frameworks, such knowledge is incorporated as a prior. On the other hand, various model parameters can have different learning rates in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sareh Nabi , Houssam Nassif , Joseph Hong , Hamed Mamani , Guido Imbens

Causal inference can be formalized as Bayesian inference that combines a prior distribution over causal models and likelihoods that account for both observations and interventions. We show that it is possible to implement this approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Sam Witty , Alexander Lew , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

The bipartite record linkage task consists of merging two disparate datafiles containing information on two overlapping sets of entities. This is non-trivial in the absence of unique identifiers and it is important for a wide variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-26 Mauricio Sadinle

We address the problem of two-variable causal inference without intervention. This task is to infer an existing causal relation between two random variables, i.e. $X \rightarrow Y$ or $Y \rightarrow X$ , from purely observational data. As…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Maximilian Kurthen , Torsten A. Enßlin

When complex Bayesian models exhibit implausible behaviour, one solution is to assemble available information into an informative prior. Challenges arise as prior information is often only available for the observable quantity, or some…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

In Bayesian meta-analysis, the specification of prior probabilities for the between-study heterogeneity is commonly required, and is of particular benefit in situations where only few studies are included. Among the considerations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Christian Röver , Sibylle Sturtz , Jona Lilienthal , Ralf Bender , Tim Friede

We develop an efficient Bayesian sequential inference framework for factor analysis models observed via various data types, such as continuous, binary and ordinal data. In the continuous data case, where it is possible to marginalise over…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-28 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Irini Moustaki

Bayesian inference provides a natural framework for updating knowledge as new information becomes available, often in a sequential manner by incorporating datasets in stages or reusing previous posteriors as priors. In practice, this is…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-05-22 Lipei Du

Accurate and efficient entity resolution is an open challenge of particular relevance to intelligence organisations that collect large datasets from disparate sources with differing levels of quality and standard. Starting from a…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-03-20 Yuhang Zhang , Kee Siong Ng , Michael Walker , Pauline Chou , Tania Churchill , Peter Christen

Finding duplicates in homicide registries is an important step in keeping an accurate account of lethal violence. This task is not trivial when unique identifiers of the individuals are not available, and it is especially challenging when…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-04 Mauricio Sadinle

In this paper we introduce a novel Bayesian approach for linking multiple social networks in order to discover the same real world person having different accounts across networks. In particular, we develop a latent model that allow us to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Juan Sosa , Abel Rodriguez

Entity Resolution (ER) is typically implemented as a batch task that processes all available data before identifying duplicate records. However, applications with time or computational constraints, e.g., those running in the cloud, require…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jakub Maciejewski , Konstantinos Nikoletos , George Papadakis , Yannis Velegrakis

Effective intervention strategies for epidemics rely on the identification of their origin and on the robustness of the predictions made by network disease models. We introduce a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework to infer model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Karen Larson , Clark Bowman , Zhizhong Chen , Panagiotis Hadjidoukas , Costas Papadimitriou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Anastasios Matzavinos

Ranking, and inferences based on ranking of a set of entities, are important problems in numerous contexts. This is especially true in small area statistics where there may be only a limited amount of directly observed data from each entity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Gauri Sankar Datta , Yiren Hou , Abhyuday Mandal

In an empirical Bayesian setting, we provide a new multiple testing method, useful when an additional covariate is available, that influences the probability of each null hypothesis being true. We measure the posterior significance of each…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-30 Egil Ferkingstad , Arnoldo Frigessi , Håvard Rue , Gudmar Thorleifsson , Augustine Kong

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss