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The influence of additional information on the decision making of agents, who are interacting members of a society, is analyzed within the mathematical framework based on the use of quantum probabilities. The introduction of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-14 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

In this article, we propose to use the formalism of quantum mechanics to describe and explain the so-called "abnormal" behaviour of agents in certain decision or choice contexts. The basic idea is to postulate that the preferences of these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-04 Herve Zwirn

The influence of additional information on the decision making of agents, who are interacting members of a society, is analyzed within the mathematical framework based on the use of quantum probabilities. The introduction of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-12 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We present a general theory of quantum information processing devices, that can be applied to human decision makers, to atomic multimode registers, or to molecular high-spin registers. Our quantum decision theory is a generalization of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We demonstrate that behavioral probabilities of human decision makers share many common features with quantum probabilities. This does not imply that humans are some quantum objects, but just shows that the mathematics of quantum theory is…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-05 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We suggest a model of a multi-agent society of decision makers taking decisions being based on two criteria, one is the utility of the prospects and the other is the attractiveness of the considered prospects. The model is the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-17 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

We consider the psychological effect of preference reversal and show that it finds a natural explanation in the frame of quantum decision theory. When people choose between lotteries with non-negative payoffs, they prefer a more certain…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-09 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

A network of agents is considered whose decision processes are described by the quantum decision theory previously advanced by the authors. Decision making is done by evaluating the utility of alternatives, their attractiveness, and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-04 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova , D. Sornette

An approach is presented treating decision theory as a probabilistic theory based on quantum techniques. Accurate definitions are given and thorough analysis is accomplished for the quantum probabilities describing the choice between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-06 V. I. Yukalov

Quantum decision theory (QDT) is a recently developed theory of decision making based on the mathematics of Hilbert spaces, a framework known in physics for its application to quantum mechanics. This framework formalizes the concept of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 M. Favre , A. Wittwer , H. R. Heinimann , V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We present the first calibration of quantum decision theory (QDT) to a dataset of binary risky choice. We quantitatively account for the fraction of choice reversals between two repetitions of the experiment, using a probabilistic choice…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-06 T. Kovalenko , S. Vincent , V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

In this paper, we introduce a new model of selection behavior under risk that describes an essential cognitive process for comparing values of objects and making a selection decision. This model is constructed by the quantum-like approach…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-18 Masanari Asano , Irina Basieva , Andrei Khrennikov , Masanori Ohya , Yoshiharu Tanaka

We present the mathematical model of decision making (DM) of agents acting in a complex and uncertain environment (combining huge variety of economical, financial, behavioral, and geo-political factors). To describe interaction of agents…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-25 F. Bagarello , A. Khrennikov , E. Haven

The Quantum Decision Theory, developed recently by the authors, is applied to clarify the role of risk and uncertainty in decision making and in particular in relation to the phenomenon of dynamic inconsistency. By formulating this notion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We propose a quantum expected value theory for decision-making under uncertainty. Quantum density operator as value operator is proposed to simulate people's subjective beliefs. Value operator guides people to choose corresponding actions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-22 Lizhi Xin , Houwen Xin

In this paper we investigate the potential for persuasion arising from the quantum indeterminacy of a decision-maker's beliefs, a feature that has been proposed as a formal expression of well-known cognitive limitations. We focus on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-25 Vladimir I. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky

Quantum Decision Theory, advanced earlier by the authors, and illustrated for lotteries with gains, is generalized to the games containing lotteries with gains as well as losses. The mathematical structure of the approach is based on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-20 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

We propose a new approach for solving a class of discrete decision making problems under uncertainty with positive cost. This issue concerns multiple and diverse fields such as engineering, economics, artificial intelligence, cognitive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Steve N'Guyen , Clément Moulin-Frier , Jacques Droulez

We live in a world brimming with uncertainty, where we constantly have to make a lot of decisions under incomplete information. We are firm believers that our subjective belief cannot be computed by rigorous mathematical formula; instead…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-08 Lizhi Xin , Kevin Xin , Houwen Xin

The valuation process that economic agents undergo for investments with uncertain payoff typically depends on their statistical views on possible future outcomes, their attitudes toward risk, and, of course, the payoff structure itself.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-11 Constantinos Kardaras
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