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Predicting the popularity of online content has attracted much attention in the past few years. In news rooms, for instance, journalists and editors are keen to know, as soon as possible, the articles that will bring the most traffic into…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Sofiane Abbar , Carlos Castillo , Antonio Sanfilippo

We present a method for accurately predicting the long time popularity of online content from early measurements of user access. Using two content sharing portals, Youtube and Digg, we show that by modeling the accrual of views and votes on…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2008-11-06 Gabor Szabo , Bernardo A. Huberman

How is popularity gained online? Is being successful strictly related to rapidly becoming viral in an online platform or is it possible to acquire popularity in a steady and disciplined fashion? What are other temporal characteristics that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Mert Ozer , Anna Sapienza , Andrés Abeliuk , Goran Muric , Emilio Ferrara

Predicting the future popularity of online content is highly important in many applications. Preferential attachment phenomena is encountered in scale free networks.Under it's influece popular items get more popular thereby resulting in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-04-06 Khushnood Abbas , Shang Mingsheng , Luo Xin

News articles are extremely time sensitive by nature. There is also intense competition among news items to propagate as widely as possible. Hence, the task of predicting the popularity of news items on the social web is both interesting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2012-02-07 Roja Bandari , Sitaram Asur , Bernardo A. Huberman

We here focus on the problem of predicting the popularity trend of user generated content (UGC) as early as possible. Taking YouTube videos as case study, we propose a novel two-step learning approach that: (1) extracts popularity trends…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Flavio Figueiredo , Jussara M. Almeida , Marcos André Gonçalves , Fabrício Benevenuto

Popularity of content in social media is unequally distributed, with some items receiving a disproportionate share of attention from users. Predicting which newly-submitted items will become popular is critically important for both…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-04-30 Kristina Lerman , Tad Hogg

Social media popularity prediction task aims to predict the popularity of posts on social media platforms, which has a positive driving effect on application scenarios such as content optimization, digital marketing and online advertising.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Yijie Xu , Bolun Zheng , Wei Zhu , Hangjia Pan , Yuchen Yao , Ning Xu , Anan Liu , Quan Zhang , Chenggang Yan

The dynamics of popularity in online media are driven by a combination of endogenous spreading mechanisms and response to exogenous shocks including news and events. However, little is known about the dependence of temporal patterns of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Ryota Kobayashi , Patrick Gildersleve , Takeaki Uno , Renaud Lambiotte

Can we predict the future popularity of a song, movie or tweet? Recent work suggests that although it may be hard to predict an item's popularity when it is first introduced, peeking into its early adopters and properties of their social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Benjamin Shulman , Amit Sharma , Dan Cosley

Popularity of content in social media is unequally distributed, with some items receiving a disproportionate share of attention from users. Predicting which newly-submitted items will become popular is critically important for both hosts of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-10-04 Kristina Lerman , Tad Hogg

The Internet increasingly focuses on content, as exemplified by the now popular Information Centric Networking paradigm. This means, in particular, that estimating content popularities becomes essential to manage and distribute content…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-10-27 Felipe Olmos , Bruno Kauffmann

With the ever decreasing attention span of contemporary Internet users, the title of online content (such as a news article or video) can be a major factor in determining its popularity. To take advantage of this phenomenon, we propose a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Wociech Stokowiec , Tomasz Trzcinski , Krzysztof Wolk , Krzysztof Marasek , Przemyslaw Rokita

Prediction of popularity has profound impact for social media, since it offers opportunities to reveal individual preference and public attention from evolutionary social systems. Previous research, although achieves promising results,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Bo Wu , Wen-Huang Cheng , Yongdong Zhang , Qiushi Huang , Jintao Li , Tao Mei

The current work deals with the problem of attempting to predict the popularity of images before even being uploaded. This method is specifically focused on Flickr images. Social features of each image as well as that of the user who had…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Amartya Dutta , Ferdous Ahmed Barbhuiya

Predicting the popularity of online content on social platforms is an important task for both researchers and practitioners. Previous methods mainly leverage demographics, temporal and structural patterns of early adopters for popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Qi Cao , Huawei Shen , Jinhua Gao , Bingzheng Wei , Xueqi Cheng

Our study presents a framework for predicting image-based social media content popularity that focuses on addressing complex image information and a hierarchical data structure. We utilize the Google Cloud Vision API to effectively extract…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dahyun Jeong , Hyelim Son , Yunjin Choi , Keunwoo Kim

In this work, we propose a regression method to predict the popularity of an online video based on temporal and visual cues. Our method uses Support Vector Regression with Gaussian Radial Basis Functions. We show that modelling popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-02 Tomasz Trzcinski , Przemyslaw Rokita

This work aims to predict the popularity of short videos using the videos themselves and their related features. Popularity is measured by four key engagement metrics: view count, like count, comment count, and share count. This study…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Haixu Liu , Wenning Wang , Haoxiang Zheng , Penghao Jiang , Qirui Wang , Ruiqing Yan , Qiuzhuang Sun

We investigate the predictability of successful memes using their early spreading patterns in the underlying social networks. We propose and analyze a comprehensive set of features and develop an accurate model to predict future popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-06-02 Lilian Weng , Filippo Menczer , Yong-Yeol Ahn
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