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From each point of a Poisson point process start growing a balloon at rate 1. When two balloons touch, they pop and disappear. Is every point contained in balloons infinitely often or not? We answer this for the Euclidean space, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Omer Angel , Gourab Ray , Yinon Spinka

We finely describe the speed of "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Under general assumptions on the birth and death rates, we firstly determine the behavior of the successive hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-01 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard

Previous critiques of the Drake Equation have highlighted its deterministic nature, implying that the number of civilizations is the same at all times. Here, I build upon earlier work and present a stochastic formulation. The birth of…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-03-25 David Kipping

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

We study finite particle systems on the one-dimensional integer lattice, where each particle performs a continuous-time nearest-neighbour random walk, with jump rates intrinsic to each particle, subject to an exclusion interaction which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Vadim Malyshev , Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov , Andrew Wade

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

In recent years there has been a substantial increase in the availability of datasets which contain information about the location and timing of an event or group of events and the application of methods to analyse spatio-temporal datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Nik Lomax , Nick Malleson , Le-Minh Kieu

We define a new variant of exclusion processes in discrete time that has jump probabilities that depend on the last jump performed. In a particular limit for the jump probabilities and in suitable scaling limits for space and time, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-01 Bryan Debin , Etienne Granet

We study an immigration effect in the time-changed linear birth-death process where the immigration occurs only if the population goes extinct. We call this process as the time-fractional linear birth-death process with immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

This study presents a study of equilibrium points, periodic orbits, stabilities, and manifolds in a rotating plane symmetric potential field. It has been found that the dynamical behaviour near equilibrium points is completely determined by…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-02 Yu Jiang , Hexi Baoyin , Xianyu Wang , Hengnian Li

In this paper, we study a discrete-time dynamical system generated by the evolution operator of a wild mosquito population with specific rates of birth and emergence from larvae to adults. The death rates of larvae and adults are assumed to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Z. S. Boxonov

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

We consider models of the population or opinion dynamics which result in the non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) exhibiting the spurious long-range memory. In this context, the correspondence between the description of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

A set of discrete individual points located in an embedding continuum space can be seen as percolating or non-percolating, depending on the radius of the discs/spheres associated with each of them. This problem is relevant in theoretical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-21 Pablo Villegas , Tommaso Gili , Andrea Gabrielli , Guido Caldarelli

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent unbounded jump rates for the particles. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of jump rate and scaled position converges almost surely to a deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-02 Tetsuya Hattori

A feature of human creativity is the ability to take a subset of existing items (e.g. objects, ideas, or techniques) and combine them in various ways to give rise to new items, which, in turn, fuel further growth. Occasionally, some of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-21 Mike Steel , Wim Hordijk , Stuart A. Kauffman

We construct two types of equilibrium dynamics of infinite particle systems in a locally compact Polish space $X$, for which certain fermion point processes are invariant. The Glauber dynamics is a birth-and-death process in $X$, while in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Lytvynov , N. Ohlerich

In this paper one presents the extension of the transient analysis of the class of continuous-time birth and death processes defined on non-negative integers with special transitions from and to the origin. From the origin transitions can…