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Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer

Ecologists are interested in modeling the population growth of species in various ecosystems. Studying population dynamics can assist environmental managers in making better decisions for the environment. Traditionally, the sampling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Rebecca E. Atanga , Edward L. Boone , Ryad A. Ghanam , Ben Stewart-Koster

Population genetics theory has laid the foundations for genomics analyses including the recent burst in genome scans for selection and statistical inference of past demographic events in many prokaryote, animal and plant species.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-22 Aurelien Tellier , Christophe Lemaire

We study the effect of biological confounders on the model selection problem between Kingman coalescents with population growth, and Xi-coalescents involving simultaneous multiple mergers. We use a low dimensional, computationally tractable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke Berenguer

We consider a family of models describing the evolution under selection of a population whose dynamics can be related to the propagation of noisy traveling waves. For one particular model, that we shall call the exponential model, the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 E. Brunet , B. Derrida , A. H. Mueller , S. Munier

Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Frédéric Lavancier , Ronan Le Guével

Gene gain-loss-duplication models are commonly based on continuous-time birth-death processes. Employed in a phylogenetic context, such models have been increasingly popular in studies of gene content evolution across multiple genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Miklos Csuros

We present and discuss new importance sampling schemes for the approximate computation of the sample probability of observed genetic types in the infinitely many sites model from population genetics. More specifically, we extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-11 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Matthias Steinruecken

Most species are structured and influenced by processes that either increased or reduced gene flow between populations. However, most population genetic inference methods ignore population structure and reconstruct a history characterized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-10 Olivier Mazet , Willy Rodríguez , Simona Grusea , Simon Boitard , Lounès Chikhi

In this article, we consider time-changed models of population evolution $\mathcal{X}^f(t)=\mathcal{X}(H^f(t))$, where $\mathcal{X}$ is a counting process and $H^f$ is a subordinator with Laplace exponent $f$. In the case $\mathcal{X}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-02 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

Different statistical samples (e.g., from different locations) offer populations and learning systems observations with distinct statistical properties. Samples under (1) 'Unconfounded' growth preserve systems' ability to determine the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Andre F. Ribeiro

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

Generative models derived from large protein sequence alignments define complex fitness landscapes, but their utility for accurately modeling non-equilibrium evolutionary dynamics remains unclear. In this work, we perform a rigorous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Leonardo Di Bari , Thierry Mora , Andrea Pagnani , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Francesco Zamponi , Saverio Rossi

The multispecies coalescent process models the genealogical relationships of genes sampled from several species, enabling useful predictions about phenomena such as the discordance between the gene tree and the species phylogeny due to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-11 Jakub Truszkowski , Celine Scornavacca , Fabio Pardi

We apply recently developed inference methods based on general coalescent processes to DNA sequence data obtained from various marine species. Several of these species are believed to exhibit so-called shallow gene genealogies, potentially…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-06 Matthias Steinrücken , Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Biological aging is characterized by an age-dependent increase in the probability of death and by a decrease in the reproductive capacity. Individual age-dependent rates of survival and reproduction have a strong impact on population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-03 Arian Šajina , Dario Riccardo Valenzano

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel
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