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In this work we provide a simple setting that connects the structural modelling approach of Gai-Kapadia interbank networks with the mean-field approach to default contagion. To accomplish this we make two key contributions. First, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-08 Zachary Feinstein , Andreas Sojmark

We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

In this paper we analyse financial implications of exchangeability and similar properties of finite dimensional random vectors. We show how these properties are reflected in prices of some basket options in view of the well-known put-call…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-05 Ilya Molchanov , Michael Schmutz

In this paper we show a limit result for the reliability function of a system -- that is, the probability that the whole system is still operational after a certain given time -- when the number of components of the system grows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Guido Lagos , Javiera Barrera , Pablo Romero , Juan Valencia

L\'evy driven term structure models have become an important subject in the mathematical finance literature. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the L\'evy driven Heath-Jarrow-Morton type term structure equation. This includes a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Damir Filipović , Stefan Tappe

We introduce a longevity feature to the classical optimal dividend problem by adding a constraint on the time of ruin of the firm. We extend the results in \cite{HJ15}, now in context of one-sided L\'evy risk models. We consider de…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco

In dynamic capital structure models with an investor break-even condition, the firm's Bellman equation may not generate a contraction mapping, so the standard existence and uniqueness conditions do not apply. First, we provide an example…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-15 Hong Chen , Murray Zed Frank

In this paper we discuss a credit risk model with a pure jump L\'evy process for the asset value and an unobservable random barrier. The default time is the first time when the asset value falls below the barrier. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-16 Xin Dong , Harry Zheng

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

It is a well known fact that recovery rates tend to go down when the number of defaults goes up in economic downturns. We demonstrate how the loss given default model with the default and recovery dependent via the latent systematic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-03 Xiaolin Luo , Pavel V. Shevchenko

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-23 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović

This is the first of a series of papers on the $L^2$-theory for formally integrable structures. It is devoted to constructing a resolution of the solution sheaf for a class of overdetermined systems introduced by L. H{\"o}rmander. A…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Qingchun Ji , Jun Yao , Guangsheng Yu

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a time and path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We study multi-default model which satisfies the quasi-left-continuity, the martingale representation property, the drift multiplier assumption and the full viability. We use $\natural$-model to construct one such model.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-03 Shiqi Song

We propose a general framework for the simultaneous modeling of equity, government bonds, corporate bonds and derivatives. Uncertainty is generated by a general affine Markov process. The setting allows for stochastic volatility, jumps, the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-07 Patrick Cheridito , Alexander Wugalter

We consider semi-coherent binary systems that are subject to simultaneous failures of its components. These are systems whose components can be either working or failed; the system can also be working or failed depending on the state of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guido Lagos , Jorge Navarro , Hector Olivero

In the spirit of previous of Albrecher, Hipp, Renaud and Zhou we consider a L\'evy insurance risk model with tax payments of a more general structure than in the aforementioned papers that was also considered in \cite{ABBR}. In terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-26 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Xiaowen Zhou

Risk management is an important practice in the banking industry. In this paper we develop a new methodology to estimate and predict the probability of default (PD) based on the rating transition matrices, which relates the rating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Jinghai Shao , Siming Li , Yong Li

We prove that the default times (or any of their minima) in the dynamic Gaussian copula model of Cr{\'e}pey, Jeanblanc, and Wu (2013) are invariance times in the sense of Cr{\'e}pey and Song (2017), with related invariance probability…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-13 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai