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In machine learning, the loss functions optimized during training often differ from the target loss that defines task performance due to computational intractability or lack of differentiability. We present an in-depth study of the target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yutao Zhong

The design and structure of generalized predictive control (GPC) are not simple and intuitive. The performance analysis does not deeply analyze how the controller parameters affect the system characteristics and the relationship between the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Feilong Zhang

Characterizing the interior structure of exoplanets is an inverse problem often solved using Bayesian inference, but this approach is hampered by the high computational cost of planetary structure models. To overcome this barrier, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-22 Tijn De Wringer , Caroline Dorn , Emily O. Garvin , Stefano Marelli

Fast machine learning-based surrogate models are trained to emulate slow, high-fidelity engineering simulation models to accelerate engineering design tasks. This introduces uncertainty as the surrogate is only an approximation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-08 Paul Westermann , Ralph Evins

This paper introduces a surrogate modeling scheme based on Grassmannian manifold learning to be used for cost-efficient predictions of high-dimensional stochastic systems. The method exploits subspace-structured features of each solution by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael D. Shields

Recently, electromagnetic surrogate solvers, trained on solutions of Maxwell's equations under specific simulation conditions, enabled fast inference of computationally expensive simulations. However, conventional electromagnetic surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Joonhyuk Seo , Chanik Kang , Dongjin Seo , Haejun Chung

Mathematical models of thrombosis are currently used to study clinical scenarios of pathological thrombus formation. Most of these models involve inherent uncertainties that must be assessed to increase the confidence in model predictions…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-02 Rodrigo Méndez Rojano , Mansur Zhussupbekov , James F. Antaki , Didier Lucor

Fluctuations in the abundance of molecules in the living cell may affect its growth and well being. For regulatory molecules (e.g., signaling proteins or transcription factors), fluctuations in their expression can affect the levels of…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Erel Levine , Terence Hwa

Mode shape information play the essential role in deciding the spatial pattern of vibratory response of a structure. The uncertainty quantification of mode shape, i.e., predicting mode shape variation when the structure is subjected to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-24 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

Due to significant manufacturing process variations, the performance of integrated circuits (ICs) has become increasingly uncertain. Such uncertainties must be carefully quantified with efficient stochastic circuit simulators. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-18 Zheng Zhang , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

An enduring challenge in computational biology is to balance data quality and quantity with model complexity. Tools such as identifiability analysis and information criterion have been developed to harmonise this juxtaposition, yet cannot…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-04 Alexander P Browning , Matthew J Simpson

Gaussian macroscopic fluctuation theory underpins the understanding of noise in a broad class of nonequilibrium systems. We derive exact fluctuation-response relations linking the power spectral density of stationary fluctuations to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-11 Timur Aslyamov , Krzysztof Ptaszyński , Massimiliano Esposito

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

This paper proposes a model predictive controller for discrete-time linear systems with additive, possibly unbounded, stochastic disturbances and subject to chance constraints. By computing a polytopic probabilistic positively invariant set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Kai Wang , Kiet Tuan Hoang , Sébastien Gros

Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures are increasingly collected as a means of measuring healthcare quality and value. The capability to predict such measures enables patient-provider shared decision making and the delivery of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Jaeyoung Park , Muxuan Liang , Ying-Qi Zhao , Xiang Zhong

Background properties in experimental particle physics are typically estimated using large data sets. However, different events can exhibit different features because of the quantum mechanical nature of the underlying physics processes.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-22 Federico Colecchia

Background: Many mathematical models have now been employed across every area of systems biology. These models increasingly involve large numbers of unknown parameters, have complex structure which can result in substantial evaluation time…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-15 Ian Vernon , Junli Liu , Michael Goldstein , James Rowe , Jen Topping , Keith Lindsey

Bayesian optimization (BO) methods often rely on the assumption that the objective function is well-behaved, but in practice, this is seldom true for real-world objectives even if noise-free observations can be collected. Common approaches,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-10 Erik Bodin , Markus Kaiser , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Zhenwen Dai , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Sparse regression on a library of candidate features has developed as the prime method to discover the partial differential equation underlying a spatio-temporal data-set. These features consist of higher order derivatives, limiting model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Gert-Jan Both , Gijs Vermarien , Remy Kusters
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