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In this study, I present a theoretical social learning model to investigate how confirmation bias affects opinions when agents exchange information over a social network. Hence, besides exchanging opinions with friends, agents observe a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-27 Marcos R. Fernandes

To make decisions we are guided by the evidence we collect, as well as the opinions of friends and neighbors. How do we integrate our private beliefs with information we obtain from our social network? To understand the strategies humans…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Bhargav Karamched , Simon Stolarczyk , Zachary Kilpatrick , Krešimir Josić

With the advent of online networks, societies are substantially more connected with individual members able to easily modify and maintain their own social links. Here, we show that active network maintenance exposes agents to confirmation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 V. Ngampruetikorn , Greg J Stephens

Complex decision-making systems rarely have direct access to the current state of the world and they instead rely on opinions to form an understanding of what the ground truth could be. Even in problems where experts provide opinions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Noyan C. Sevuktekin , Andrew C. Singer

The question of how people form their opinion has fascinated economists and sociologists for quite some time. In many of the models, a group of people in a social network, each holding a numerical opinion, arrive at a shared opinion through…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-15 David Bindel , Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren

We study a setting where Bayesian agents with a common prior have private information related to an event's outcome and sequentially make public announcements relating to their information. Our main result shows that when agents' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

Understanding how reliable information emerges in interconnected populations is a challenge in social science, network theory and data analysis. Many existing approaches model treat truth as an external reference or a property of individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-01 Arturo Tozzi

Online social networks provide users with unprecedented opportunities to engage with diverse opinions. At the same time, they enable confirmation bias on large scales by empowering individuals to self-select narratives they want to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-22 Orowa Sikder , Robert E. Smith , Pierpaolo Vivo , Giacomo Livan

This paper is concerned with the probability of consensus in a multivariate, spatially explicit version of the Hegselmann-Krause model for the dynamics of opinions. Individuals are located on the vertices of a finite connected graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nicolas Lanchier , Hsin-Lun Li

This work studies the learning process over social networks under partial and random information sharing. In traditional social learning models, agents exchange full belief information with each other while trying to infer the true state of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Ali H. Sayed

We develop a model of opinion dynamics where agents in a social network seek to learn a ground truth among a set of competing hypotheses. Agents in the network form private beliefs about such hypotheses by aggregating their neighbors'…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-26 Diana Riazi , Giacomo Livan

Models of the consensus of the individual state in social systems have been the subject of recent researches in the physics literature. We investigate how network structures coevolve with the individual state under the framework of social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Kaiqi Zhang , Zinan Lv , Haifeng Du , Honghu Zou

We study the evolution of opinions on a directed network with community structure. Individuals update their opinions synchronously based on a weighted average of their neighbors' opinions, their own previous opinions, and external media…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Panagiotis Andreou , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

We consider a class of opinion dynamics on networks where at each time-step, each node in the network disregards the opinions of a certain number of its most extreme neighbors and updates its own opinion as a weighted average of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-29 Shreyas Sundaram

The ability of a society to make the right decisions on relevant matters relies on its capability to properly aggregate the noisy information spread across the individuals it is made of. In this paper we study the information aggregation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Giacomo Livan , Matteo Marsili

Unlike many complex networks studied in the literature, social networks rarely exhibit unanimous behavior, or consensus. This requires a development of mathematical models that are sufficiently simple to be examined and capture, at the same…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Sergey E. Parsegov , Anton V. Proskurnikov , Roberto Tempo , Noah E. Friedkin

Today's society faces widening disagreement and conflicts among constituents with incompatible views. Escalated views and opinions are seen not only in radical ideology or extremism but also in many other scenes of our everyday life. Here…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-08 Hiroki Sayama

We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Integrating information gained by observing others via Social Bayesian Learning can be beneficial for an agent's performance, but can also enable population wide information cascades that perpetuate false beliefs through the agent…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-06-05 Christoph Salge , Daniel Polani

Consensus decision-making in social groups strongly depends on communication links that determine to whom individuals send, and from whom they receive, information. Here, we ask how consensus decisions are affected by strategic updating of…

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