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An eternally inflating universe produces an infinite amount of spatial volume, so every possible event happens an infinite number of times, and it is impossible to define probabilities in terms of frequencies. This problem is usually…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-05-30 Ken D. Olum

The definition of probabilities in eternally inflating universes requires a measure to regulate the infinite spacetime volume, and much of the current literature uses a global time cutoff for this purpose. Such measures have been found to…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2011-08-04 Alan H. Guth , Vitaly Vanchurin

Eternal inflation is a seemingly generic consequence of theories that give rise to accelerated expansion of the universe and possess multiple vacuum states. Making predictions in an eternally inflating universe is notoriously difficult…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-05-30 Matthew C. Johnson , Jean-Luc Lehners

Probabilities in eternal inflation are traditionally defined as limiting frequency distributions, but a unique and unambiguous probability measure remains elusive. In this paper, we present a different approach, based on Bayesian reasoning.…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-07-19 Justin Khoury , Sam S. C. Wong

An unresolved question in inflationary cosmology is the assignment of probabilities to different types of events that can occur in the eternally inflating multiverse. We explore the possibility that the resolution of this "measure problem"…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-12 Alexander Vilenkin

The basic workings of inflationary models are summarized, along with the arguments that strongly suggest that our universe is the product of inflation. I describe the quantum origin of density perturbations, giving a heuristic derivation of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alan H. Guth

Everlasting inflation has far-reaching implications for cosmology and the standing of self-localizing inferences made by observers, which have been subjects of renewed interest in light of the growing acceptance of theory landscapes and the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-12-28 Ross N Greenwood , Anthony Aguirre

We study various probability measures for eternal inflation by applying their regularization prescriptions to models where inflation is not eternal. For simplicity we work with a toy model describing inflation that can interpolate between…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-21 Andrei Linde , Mahdiyar Noorbala

We use the stochastic approach to investigate the measure for slow roll eternal inflation. The probability for the universe of a given Hubble radius can be calculated in this framework. In a solvable model, it is shown that the probability…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-18 Miao Li , Yi Wang

In this paper we introduce a simple discrete stochastic model of eternal inflation that shares many of the most important features of the continuum theory as it is now understood. The model allows us to construct a multiverse and rigorously…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2013-05-30 Daniel Harlow , Stephen Shenker , Douglas Stanford , Leonard Susskind

The basic workings of inflationary models are summarized, along with the arguments that strongly suggest that our universe is the product of inflation. The mechanisms that lead to eternal inflation in both new and chaotic models are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alan H. Guth

The basic workings of inflationary models are summarized, along with the arguments that strongly suggest that our universe is the product of inflation. The mechanisms that lead to eternal inflation in both new and chaotic models are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Alan H. Guth

I summarize the arguments that strongly suggest that our universe is the product of inflation. The mechanisms that lead to eternal inflation in both new and chaotic models are described. Although the infinity of pocket universes produced by…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Alan H. Guth

In recent literature on eternal inflation, a number of measures have been introduced which attempt to assign probabilities to different pocket universes by counting the number of each type of pocket according to a specific procedure. We…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Anthony Aguirre , Steven Gratton , Matthew C Johnson

Problems with uniform probabilities on an infinite support show up in contemporary cosmology. This paper focuses on the context of inflation theory, where it complicates the assignment of a probability measure over pocket universes. The…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2023-09-11 Sylvia Wenmackers

An improved volume-weighted probability measure for eternal inflation is proposed. For the models studied in this paper it leads to simple and intuitively expected gauge-invariant results.

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-13 Andrei Linde

In generic models of cosmological inflation, quantum fluctuations strongly influence the spacetime metric and produce infinitely many regions where the end of inflation (reheating) is delayed until arbitrarily late times. The geometry of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Sergei Winitzki

An unresolved question in inflationary cosmology is the assignment of probabilities to different types of events that can occur in the eternally inflating multiverse. We explore the possibility that the resolution of this "measure problem"…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-11 Jaume Garriga , Alexander Vilenkin

We consider the eternal inflation scenario of the slow-roll/chaotic type with the additional element of an objective collapse of the wave function. The incorporation of this new agent to the traditional inflationary setting might represent…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-10-27 Gabriel Leon

Lecture notes as per the title. In the first part, the concepts of a measurable space, measurable maps between measurable spaces and that of a measure on a measurable space are introduced, after which the fundamentals of the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Matija Vidmar
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