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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-01 Xiaoyue Xi , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

This paper develops a Bayesian computational platform at the interface between posterior sampling and optimization in models whose marginal likelihoods are difficult to evaluate. Inspired by adversarial optimization, namely Generative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Rockova

Couplings play a central role in the analysis of Markov chain convergence and in the construction of novel Markov chain Monte Carlo estimators, diagnostics, and variance reduction techniques. The set of possible couplings is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 John O'Leary , Guanyang Wang

Genetic algorithms are high-level heuristic optimization methods which enjoy great popularity thanks to their intuitive description, flexibility, and, of course, effectiveness. The optimization procedure is based on the evolution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Giacomo Borghi

Theoretical analyses of stochastic search algorithms, albeit few, have always existed since these algorithms became popular. Starting in the nineties a systematic approach to analyse the performance of stochastic search heuristics has been…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-09-05 Per Kristian Lehre , Pietro S. Oliveto

We consider estimating the transition probability matrix of a finite-state finite-observation alphabet hidden Markov model with known observation probabilities. The main contribution is a two-step algorithm; a method of moments estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

The multiple Try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm is an advanced MCMC technique based on drawing and testing several candidates at each iteration of the algorithm. One of them is selected according to certain weights and then it is tested…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-22 L. Martino , F. Louzada

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

Consider a collection of competing machine learning algorithms. Given their performance on a benchmark of datasets, we would like to identify the best performing algorithm. Specifically, which algorithm is most likely to rank highest on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Amichai Painsky

The purpose of this text is to provide an accessible introduction to a set of recently developed algorithms for factorizing matrices. These new algorithms attain high practical speed by reducing the dimensionality of intermediate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Per-Gunnar Martinsson

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

In this paper two novel possibilistic clustering algorithms are presented, which utilize the concept of sparsity. The first one, called sparse possibilistic c-means, exploits sparsity and can deal well with closely located clusters that may…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-10-16 Spyridoula D. Xenaki , Konstantinos D. Koutroumbas , Athanasios A. Rontogiannis

Component-wise MCMC algorithms, including Gibbs and conditional Metropolis-Hastings samplers, are commonly used for sampling from multivariate probability distributions. A long-standing question regarding Gibbs algorithms is whether a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are one of the most popular classes of algorithms for sampling from a target probability distribution. A rising trend in recent years consists in analyzing the convergence of MCMC algorithms using…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Federica Milinanni

Doubly intractable models are encountered in a number of fields, e.g. social networks, ecology and epidemiology. Inference for such models requires the evaluation of a likelihood function, whose normalising factor depends on the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Yu Yang , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

The framework of algorithmic knowledge assumes that agents use deterministic knowledge algorithms to compute the facts they explicitly know. We extend the framework to allow for randomized knowledge algorithms. We then characterize the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

We study the class of first-order locally-balanced Metropolis--Hastings algorithms introduced in Livingstone & Zanella (2021). To choose a specific algorithm within the class the user must select a balancing function $g:\mathbb{R} \to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-05 Jure Vogrinc , Samuel Livingstone , Giacomo Zanella

TThe problem is to identify a probability associated with a set of natural numbers, given an infinite data sequence of elements from the set. If the given sequence is drawn i.i.d. and the probability mass function involved (the target)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-14 Paul M. B. Vitanyi , Nick Chater