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This paper develops a framework to study the statistical power of revealed-preference tests. With randomly sampled budgets and mild smoothness of demand, statistical learning implies that any model consistent with the data must approximate…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-12 Charles Gauthier , Raghav Malhotra , Agustin Troccoli Moretti

Machine learning systems have been widely used to make decisions about individuals who may behave strategically to receive favorable outcomes, e.g., they may genuinely improve the true labels or manipulate observable features directly to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Tian Xie , Zhiqun Zuo , Mohammad Mahdi Khalili , Xueru Zhang

This paper studies the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth in a semi-static market composed of derivative securities, which we assume can be traded only at time zero, and of stocks, which can be traded continuously…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-09 Pietro Siorpaes

Standard methods for aligning large language models with human preferences learn from pairwise comparisons among sampled candidate responses and regularize toward a reference policy. Despite their effectiveness, the effects of sampling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Yurong Chen , Yu He , Michael I. Jordan , Fan Yao

Preference-based many-objective optimization faces two obstacles: an expanding space of trade-offs and heterogeneous, context-dependent human value structures. Towards this, we propose a Bayesian framework that learns a small set of latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Manisha Dubey , Sebastiaan De Peuter , Wanrong Wang , Samuel Kaski

How should well-being be prioritised in society, and what trade-offs are people willing to make between fairness and personal well-being? We investigate these questions using a stated preference experiment with a nationally representative…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Crispin Cooper , Ana Fredrich , Tommaso Reggiani , Wouter Poortinga

This study replicates the findings of Wang et al. (2017) on reference-dependent preferences and their impact on the risk-return trade-off in the Chinese stock market, a unique context characterized by high retail investor participation,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-28 Penggan Xu

An analyst observes the frequency with which a decision maker (DM) takes actions, but not the frequency conditional on payoff-relevant states. We ask when the analyst can rationalize the DM's choices as if the DM first learns something…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-18 Laura Doval , Ran Eilat , Tianhao Liu , Yangfan Zhou

This paper considers utility indifference valuation of derivatives under model uncertainty and trading constraints, where the utility is formulated as an additive stochastic differential utility of both intertemporal consumption and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-26 Huiwen Yan , Gechun Liang , Zhou Yang

In settings where Machine Learning (ML) algorithms automate or inform consequential decisions about people, individual decision subjects are often incentivized to strategically modify their observable attributes to receive more favorable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Keegan Harris , Daniel Ngo , Logan Stapleton , Hoda Heidari , Zhiwei Steven Wu

This paper shows how we can combine logical representations of actions and decision theory in such a manner that seems natural for both. In particular we assume an axiomatization of the domain in terms of situation calculus, using what is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David L. Poole

Risk and utility functionals are fundamental building blocks in economics and finance. In this paper we investigate under which conditions a risk or utility functional is sensitive to the accumulation of losses in the sense that any…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Martin Herdegen , Nazem Khan , Cosimo Munari

We study a general robust utility maximization problem in a discrete-time frictionless market. The investor is assumed to have a possibly infinite, random, nonconcave, and nondecreasing utility function defined on the whole real line. She…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune

We model investor heterogeneity using different required returns on an investment and evaluate the impact on the valuation of an investment. By assuming no disagreement on the cash flows, we emphasize how risk preferences in particular, but…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-13 Carol Alexander , Xi Chen , Charles Ward

We study the optimal investment and proportional reinsurance problem of an insurance company, whose investment preferences are described via a forward dynamic utility of exponential type in a stochastic factor model allowing for a possible…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-20 Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

We obtain an elementary characterization of expected utility based on a representation of choice in terms of psychological gambles, which requires no assumption other than coherence between ex-ante and ex-post preferences. Weaker version of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Gianluca Cassese

The predominant knowledge-based approach to automated model construction, compositional modelling, employs a set of models of particular functional components. Its inference mechanism takes a scenario describing the constituent interacting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-04 J. Keppens , Q. Shen

We perform a stability analysis for the utility maximization problem in a general semimartingale model where both liquid and illiquid assets (random endowments) are present. Small misspecifications of preferences (as modeled via expected…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-17 Constantinos Kardaras , Gordan Zitkovic

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

Choice modeling has been a central topic in the study of individual preference or utility across many fields including economics, marketing, operations research, and psychology. While the vast majority of the literature on choice models has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-22 Zhongze Cai , Hanzhao Wang , Kalyan Talluri , Xiaocheng Li