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Consider $n$ independent measurements, with the additional information of the times at which measurements are performed. This paper deals with testing statistical hypotheses when $n$ is large and only a small amount of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Andrea Bulgarelli , Alessio Aboudan

We study the problem of testing discrete distributions with a focus on the high probability regime. Specifically, given samples from one or more discrete distributions, a property $\mathcal{P}$, and parameters $0< \epsilon, \delta <1$, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Ilias Diakonikolas , Themis Gouleakis , Daniel M. Kane , John Peebles , Eric Price

A concept of randomness for infinite time register machines (ITRMs), resembling Martin-L\"of-randomness, is defined and studied. In particular, we show that for this notion of randomness, computability from mutually random reals implies…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Merlin Carl

Probabilistic models require the notion of event space for defining a probability measure. An event space has a probability measure which ensues the Kolmogorov axioms. However, the probabilities observed from distinct sources, such as that…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-03-13 Massimo Melucci

Following Fisher, it is widely believed that randomization "relieves the experimenter from the anxiety of considering innumerable causes by which the data may be disturbed." In particular, it is said to control for known and unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

We study a new framework for property testing of probability distributions, by considering distribution testing algorithms that have access to a conditional sampling oracle.* This is an oracle that takes as input a subset $S \subseteq [N]$…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-01-19 Clement Canonne , Dana Ron , Rocco A. Servedio

Many scientific questions rely on determining whether two sequences of event times are associated. This article introduces a likelihood ratio test which can be parameterised in several ways to detect different forms of dependence. A common…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-23 Patrick Rubin-Delanchy , Nicholas A. Heard

We present a randomization-based inferential framework for experiments characterized by a strongly ignorable assignment mechanism where units have independent probabilities of receiving treatment. Previous works on randomization tests often…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Zach Branson , Marie-Abele Bind

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Let f be a computable function from finite sequences of 0's and 1's to real numbers. We prove that strong f-randomness implies strong f-randomness relative to a PA-degree. We also prove: if X is strongly f-random and Turing reducible to Y…

We examine the extent to which sublinear-sample property testing and estimation apply to settings where samples are independently but not identically distributed. Specifically, we consider the following distributional property testing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Shivam Garg , Chirag Pabbaraju , Kirankumar Shiragur , Gregory Valiant

We present the expected values from p-value hacking as a choice of the minimum p-value among $m$ independents tests, which can be considerably lower than the "true" p-value, even with a single trial, owing to the extreme skewness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-29 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We probabilistically analyze the performance of the arithmetic coding algorithm under a probability model for binary data in which a message is received by a coder from a source emitting independent equally distributed bits, with 1…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Hosam M. Mahmoud , Hans J. Rivertz

Given a positive random variable $X$, $X\ge0$ a.s., a null hypothesis $H_0:E(X)\le\mu$ and a random sample of infinite size of $X$, we construct test supermartingales for $H_0$, i.e. positive processes that are supermartingale if the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Harrie Hendriks

We study properties of two resampling scenarios: Conditional Randomisation and Conditional Permutation schemes, which are relevant for testing conditional independence of discrete random variables $X$ and $Y$ given a random variable $Z$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Małgorzata Łazęcka , Bartosz Kołodziejek , Jan Mielniczuk

Several tasks in information retrieval (IR) rely on assumptions regarding the distribution of some property (such as term frequency) in the data being processed. This thesis argues that such distributional assumptions can lead to incorrect…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Casper Petersen

In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Phil Maguire , Philippe Moser , Rebecca Maguire , Mark Keane

We consider the problem of determining feasible systems from a finite set of simulated alternatives with respect to probability constraints, where the observations from stochastic simulations are Bernoulli distributed. Most statistically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Taehoon Kim , Sigrun Andradottir , Seong-Hee Kim , Yuwei Zhou

This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

A real \alpha is called recursively enumerable ("r.e." for short) if there exists a computable, increasing sequence of rationals which converges to \alpha. It is known that the randomness of an r.e. real \alpha can be characterized in…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Kohtaro Tadaki