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Factor analysis provides linear factors that describe relationships between individual variables of a data set. We extend this classical formulation into linear factors that describe relationships between groups of variables, where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-03 Arto Klami , Seppo Virtanen , Eemeli Leppäaho , Samuel Kaski

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

Quantile Factor Models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high-dimensional panel data. Unlike Approximate Factor Models (AFM), where only location-shifting factors can be extracted, QFM also allow to recover unobserved factors…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo

Factor analysis is a way to characterize the relationships between many manifest variables in terms of a smaller number of latent variables (i.e., factors). Particularly, in exploratory factor analysis (EFA), researchers consider various…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Justin Philip Tuazon , Gia Mizrane Abubo , Joemari Olea

The stochastic approximation EM algorithm (SAEM) is described for the estimation of item and person parameters given test data coded as dichotomous or ordinal variables. The method hinges upon the eigenanalysis of missing variables sampled…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Eugene Geis

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

We propose a confirmatory dynamic factor model for a large number of stocks whose returns are observed daily across multiple time zones. The model has a global factor and a continental factor that both drive the individual stock return…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Jianbin Wu

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

Financial event studies, ubiquitous in finance research, typically use linear factor models with known factors to estimate abnormal returns and identify causal effects of information events. This paper demonstrates that when factor models…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Tianshu Lyu

Factor analysis or sometimes referred to as variable analysis has been extensively used in classification problems for identifying specific factors that are significant to particular classes. This type of analysis has been widely used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Nagdev Amruthnath , Tarun Gupta

Item factor analysis (IFA) refers to the factor models and statistical inference procedures for analyzing multivariate categorical data. IFA techniques are commonly used in social and behavioral sciences for analyzing item-level response…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-17 Yunxiao Chen , Siliang Zhang

Prediction models calibrated using historical data may forecast poorly if the dynamics of the present and future differ from observations in the past. For this reason, predictions can be improved if information like forward looking views…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Anas Abdelhakmi , Andrew E. B. Lim

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

We introduce a factor analysis model that summarizes the dependencies between observed variable groups, instead of dependencies between individual variables as standard factor analysis does. A group may correspond to one view of the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-19 Seppo Virtanen , Arto Klami , Suleiman A. Khan , Samuel Kaski

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This report presents a systematic market-neutral, multi-factor investment strategy for New York Stock Exchange equities with the objective of delivering steady returns while minimizing correlation with the market. A robust feature set is…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Georgios M. Gkolemis , Adwin Richie Lee , Amine Roudani

Recent years have witnessed the perfect encounter of deep learning and quantitative trading has achieved great success in stock investment. Numerous deep learning-based models have been developed for forecasting stock returns, leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Chen Yang , Jingyuan Wang , Xiaohan Jiang , Junjie Wu

This paper considers a portfolio trading strategy formulated by algorithms in the field of machine learning. The profitability of the strategy is measured by the algorithm's capability to consistently and accurately identify stock indices…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 James Brofos

In the stochastic volatility models for multivariate daily stock returns, it has been found that the estimates of parameters become unstable as the dimension of returns increases. To solve this problem, we focus on the factor structure of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori