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Context. Whenever correlation functions are used for inference about cosmological parameters in the context of a Bayesian analysis, the likelihood function of correlation functions needs to be known. Usually, it is approximated as a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-08-06 Philipp Wilking , Peter Schneider

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

Undirected graphs are often used to describe high dimensional distributions. Under sparsity conditions, the graph can be estimated using $\ell_1$-penalization methods. We propose and study the following method. We combine a multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-11 Shuheng Zhou , Philipp Rutimann , Min Xu , Peter Buhlmann

Wide conditions are provided to guarantee asymptotic unbiasedness and L^2-consistency of the introduced estimates of the Kullback-Leibler divergence for probability measures in R^d having densities w.r.t. the Lebesgue measure. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Alexander Bulinski , Denis Dimitrov

This paper studies function approximation in Gaussian Sobolev spaces over the real line and measures the error in a Gaussian-weighted $L^p$-norm. We construct two linear approximation algorithms using $n$ function evaluations that achieve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Yuya Suzuki , Toni Karvonen

We propose a new sampling-based approach for approximate inference in filtering problems. Instead of approximating conditional distributions with a finite set of states, as done in particle filters, our approach approximates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Xuan Su , Wee Sun Lee , Zhen Zhang

This paper presents a method for approximate Gaussian process (GP) regression with tensor networks (TNs). A parametric approximation of a GP uses a linear combination of basis functions, where the accuracy of the approximation depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Clara Menzen , Eva Memmel , Kim Batselier , Manon Kok

We propose an algorithm to approximate solutions of global optimization problems in Sobolev spaces that follows the spirit of Consensus-based algorithms in finite dimensions. The main ingredient are Gaussian processes. In fact, we exploit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Mahmoud Khatab , Claudia Totzeck

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

Variational inference (VI) is a popular approach in Bayesian inference, that looks for the best approximation of the posterior distribution within a parametric family, minimizing a loss that is typically the (reverse) Kullback-Leibler (KL)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-11 Tom Huix , Anna Korba , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

Optimization in the Bures-Wasserstein space has been gaining popularity in the machine learning community since it draws connections between variational inference and Wasserstein gradient flows. The variational inference objective function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Hoang Phuc Hau Luu , Hanlin Yu , Bernardo Williams , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

This paper proposes a novel method for testing observability in Gaussian models using discrete density approximations (deterministic samples) of (multivariate) Gaussians. Our notion of observability is defined by the existence of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-19 Ariane Hanebeck , Claudia Czado

Modern applications of Bayesian inference involve models that are sufficiently complex that the corresponding posterior distributions are intractable and must be approximated. The most common approximation is based on Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin , Howard Bondell

The widespread use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high-dimensional applications has motivated research into the scalability of these algorithms with respect to the dimension of the problem. Despite this, numerous problems…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-21 Ardjen Pengel , Jun Yang , Zhou Zhou

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Experimental design is a classical statistics problem and its aim is to estimate an unknown $m$-dimensional vector $\beta$ from linear measurements where a Gaussian noise is introduced in each measurement. For the combinatorial experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Mohit Singh , Weijun Xie

This paper has been withdrawn from the arXiv. It is now published by Elsevier in the Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, under the modified title "Convergence properties of the expected improvement algorithm with fixed mean and…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Emmanuel Vazquez , Julien Bect

We derive the isoperimetric profile of Gaussian type for an absolutely continuous probability measure on Euclidean spaces with respect to the Lebesgue measure, whose density is a radial function.The key is a generalization of the Poincar\'e…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Asuka Takatsu

We study the approximation of expectations $\E(f(X))$ for Gaussian random elements $X$ with values in a separable Hilbert space $H$ and Lipschitz continuous functionals $f \colon H \to \R$. We consider restricted Monte Carlo algorithms,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter