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Related papers: Iterated Random Functions and Slowly Varying Tails

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We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

The so-called partition function is a sample moment statistic based on blocks of data and it is often used in the context of multifractal processes. It will be shown that its behaviour is strongly influenced by the tail of the distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Danijel Grahovac , Mofei Jia , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Emanuele Taufer

Consider the set of functions $f_{\theta}(x)=|\theta -x|$ on $\mathbb{R}$. Define a Markov process that starts with a point $x_0 \in \mathbb{R}$ and continues with $x_{k+1}=f_{\theta_{k+1}}(x_{k})$ with each $\theta _{k+1}$ picked from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Aaron Abrams , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim , Eric Zaslow

We study the affine recursion $X_n = A_nX_{n-1}+B_n$ where $(A_n,B_n)\in {\mathbb R}^+ \times {\mathbb R} $ is an i.i.d. sequence and recursions $X_n = \Phi_n(X_{n-1})$ defined by Lipschitz transformations such that $\Phi (x)\geq Ax+B$. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-26 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek

We consider autoregressive sequences $X_n=aX_{n-1}+\xi_n$ and $M_n=\max\{aM_{n-1},\xi_n\}$ with a constant $a\in(0,1)$ and with positive, independent and identically distributed innovations $\{\xi_k\}$. It is known that if $\mathbf…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Denis Denisov , Gunter Hinrich , Martin Kolb , Vitali Wachtel

Motivated by techniques developed in recent progress on lower bounds for sublinear time algorithms (Behnezhad, Roghani and Rubinstein, STOC 2023, FOCS 2023, and STOC 2024) we introduce and study a new class of randomized algorithmic…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Amir Azarmehr , Soheil Behnezhad , Alma Ghafari , Madhu Sudan

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

We consider the following recurrence relation with random i.i.d. coefficients $(a_n,b_n)$: $$ x_{n+1}=a_{n+1} x_n+b_{n+1} $$ where $a_n\in GL(d,\mathbb{R}),b_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$. Under natural conditions on $(a_n,b_n)$ this equation has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yves Guivarc'h

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Thomas Taimre , Patrick J. Laub

In contrast to the neatly bounded spectra of densely populated large random matrices, sparse random matrices often exhibit unbounded eigenvalue tails on the real and imaginary axis, called Lifshitz tails. In the case of asymmetric matrices,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-07 Pietro Valigi , Joseph W. Baron , Izaak Neri , Giulio Biroli , Chiara Cammarota

In this paper, we establish the precise asymptotic behaviors of the tail probability and the transition density of a large class of isotropic L\'evy processes when the scaling order is between 0 and 2 including 2. We also obtain the precise…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Panki Kim , Ante Mimica

The extremal behaviour of a Markov chain is typically characterized by its tail chain. For asymptotically dependent Markov chains existing formulations fail to capture the full evolution of the extreme event when the chain moves out of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Kirstin Strokorb , Jonathan A. Tawn , Adam Butler

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the product tail probability $ \mathbb{P}(\xi_1\cdots\xi_N \geqslant n), $ where $\{\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_N\}$ is a finite collection of independent Poisson random variables with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

We fix $d \geq 2$ and denote $\mathcal S$ the semi-group of $d \times d$ matrices with non negative entries. We consider a sequence $(A_n, B_n)_{n \geq 1} $ of i. i. d. random variables with values in $\mathcal S\times \mathbb R_+^d$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Sara Brofferio , Marc Peigné , Thi Da Cam Pham

We establish the one-to one bilateral interrelations between an asymptotic behavior for the tail of distributions for random variables and its great moments evaluation. Our results generalize the famous Richter's ones.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We report some properties of heavy-tailed Sibuya-like distributions related to thinning, self-decomposability and branching processes. Extension of the thinning operation of on-negative integer-valued random variables to scaling by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Lev B. Klebanov , Michal Šumbera