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In this paper we introduce the notion of fractional martingale as the fractional derivative of order $\alpha$ of a continuous local martingale, where $\alpha\in(-{1/2},{1/2})$, and we show that it has a nonzero finite variation of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Jian Song

A Brownian time process is a Markov process subordinated to the absolute value of an independent one-dimensional Brownian motion. Its transition densities solve an initial value problem involving the square of the generator of the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Boris Baeumer , Mark M. Meerschaert , Erkan Nane

This work develops a duality theory for partially observed linear Gaussian models in discrete time. The state process evolves according to a causal but non-Markovian (or higher-order Gauss-Markov) structure, captured by a lower-triangular…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Aditya Kudre , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Researchers from different areas have independently defined extensions of the usual weak convergence of laws of stochastic processes with the goal of adequately accounting for the flow of information. Natural approaches are convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Daniel Bartl , Mathias Beiglböck , Gudmund Pammer , Stefan Schrott , Xin Zhang

The classical Donsker weak invariance principle is extended to a Besov spaces framework. Polygonal line processes build from partial sums of stationary martingale differences as well independent and identically distributed random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Davide Giraudo , Alfredas Rackauskas

We study existence and uniqueness of the fixed points solutions of a large class of non-linear variable discounted transfer operators associated to a sequential decision-making process. We establish regularity properties of these solutions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 L. Cioletti , Elismar R. Oliveira

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In this article we will present a new perspective on the variable order fractional calculus, which allows for differentiation and integration to a variable order, i.e. one differentiates (or integrates) a function along the path of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-31 Fabian Harang , Torstein Nilssen , Frank Proske

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Grégoire Ferré , Hugo Touchette

A key issue in dimension reduction of dissipative dynamical systems with spectral gaps is the identification of slow invariant manifolds. We present theoretical and numerical results for a variational approach to the problem of computing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Dirk Lebiedz , Jochen Siehr , Jonas Unger

We introduce the local martingale problem associated to semilinear stochastic evolution equations driven by a cylindrical Wiener process and establish a one-to-one correspondence between solutions of the martingale problem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Markus C. Kunze

We consider a class of optimal control problems, with finite or infinite horizon, for a continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space. In this case, the control process affects the transition rates. We suppose that the controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

This work brings together two powerful concepts in Gaussian processes: the variational approach to sparse approximation and the spectral representation of Gaussian processes. This gives rise to an approximation that inherits the benefits of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-09 James Hensman , Nicolas Durrande , Arno Solin

We study the convergence to the multiple Wiener-It\^{o} integral from processes with absolutely continuous paths. More precisely, consider a family of processes, with paths in the Cameron-Martin space, that converges weakly to a standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-27 Xavier Bardina , Maria Jolis , Ciprian Tudor

In this paper, we prove maximal inequalities and study the functional central limit theorem for the partial sums of linear processes generated by dependent innovations. Due to the general weights, these processes can exhibit long-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-21 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

We develop a nonanticipative calculus for functionals of a continuous semimartingale, using an extension of the Ito formula to path-dependent functionals which possess certain directional derivatives. The construction is based on a pathwise…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Rama Cont , David-Antoine Fournié

Inference, prediction and control of complex dynamical systems from time series is important in many areas, including financial markets, power grid management, climate and weather modeling, or molecular dynamics. The analysis of such highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-19 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

A class of Gaussian processes generalizing the usual fractional Brownian motion for Hurst indices in (1/2,1) and multifractal Brownian motion introduced in Ralchenko and Shevchenko (Theory Probab Math Stat 80, 2010) and Boufoussi et al.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Jelena Ryvkina

The paper is concerned with a mixed stochastic delay differential equation involving both a Wiener process and a $\gamma$-H\"older continuous process with $\gamma>1/2$ (e.g. a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter greater than…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Yuliya Mishura , Taras Shalaiko , Georgiy Shevchenko