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This paper extends Bayesian mortality projection models for multiple populations considering the stochastic structure and the effect of spatial autocorrelation among the observations. We explain high levels of overdispersion according to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 Zhen Liu , Xiaoqian Sun , Yu-Bo Wang

Advances in data collection in radiation therapy have led to an abundance of opportunities for applying data mining and machine learning techniques to promote new data-driven insights. In light of these advances, supporting collaboration…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Andrew Wentzel , Guadalupe Canahuate , Lisanne van Dijk , Abdallah Mohamed , Clifton David Fuller , G. Elisabeta Marai

We present a novel Bayesian spatial disaggregation model for count data, providing fast and flexible inference at high resolution. First, it incorporates non-linear covariate effects using penalized splines, a flexible approach that is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Sara Rutten , Thomas Neyens , Elisa Duarte , Christel Faes

This study develops a model-based index creation approach called the Generalized Shared Component Model (GSCM) by drawing on the large field of factor models. The proposed fully Bayesian approach accommodates heteroscedastic model error,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-04 James Hogg , Susanna Cramb , Jessica Cameron , Peter Baade , Kerrie Mengersen

The assessment of corporate sustainability performance is extremely relevant in facilitating the transition to a green and low-carbon intensity economy. However, companies located in different areas may be subject to different…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Caterina Morelli , Simone Boccaletti , Paolo Maranzano , Philipp Otto

The task of clustering a set of objects based on multiple sources of data arises in several modern applications. We propose an integrative statistical model that permits a separate clustering of the objects for each data source. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-01 Eric F. Lock , David B. Dunson

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Stochastic epidemic models describe the dynamics of an epidemic as a disease spreads through a population. Typically, only a fraction of cases are observed at a set of discrete times. The absence of complete information about the time…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-14 Jonathan Fintzi , Xiang Cui , Jon Wakefield , Vladimir N. Minin

Among the proposals for joint disease mapping, the shared component model has become more popular. Another recent advance to strengthen inference of disease data has been the extension of purely spatial models to include time and space-time…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-04 Behzad Mahaki , Yadollah Mehrabi , Amir Kavousi , Volker J Schmid

Spatial domain identification requires jointly modeling molecular signatures and physical coordinates, yet current tools frequently over-smooth biological boundaries, require user-specified cluster numbers, and lack principled multimodal…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 Xin Li , Xiaofei Dong , Zhenke Duan , Lulu Shang , Xiao Wang , Xinyuan Song , Hanwen Ning , Guanyu Hu

Indirect standardization is widely used in disease mapping to control for confounding, but relies on restrictive assumptions that may bias estimates if violated. Using data on suicide-related emergency calls, this study highlights such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 J. Martín-Pozuelo , A. López-Quílez , X. Barber , M. Marco

Clustering of proteins is of interest in cancer cell biology. This article proposes a hierarchical Bayesian model for protein (variable) clustering hinging on correlation structure. Starting from a multivariate normal likelihood, we enforce…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Arnab Kumar Maity , Mohsen Pourahmadi , Bani K. Mallick

A stochastic epidemic model is defined in which each individual belongs to a household, a secondary grouping (typically school or workplace) and also the community as a whole. Moreover, infectious contacts take place in these three settings…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-17 Tom Britton , Theodore Kypraios , Philip O'Neill

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

Measuring the impact of an environmental point source exposure on the risk of disease, like cancer or childhood asthma, is well-developed. Modeling how an environmental health hazard that is extensive in space, like a wastewater canal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Rob Trangucci , Jesse Contreras , Jon Zelner , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg , Yang Chen

Cancer is a significant health issue globally and it is well known that cancer risk varies geographically. However in many countries there are no small area level data on cancer risk factors with high resolution and complete reach, which…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-04 James Hogg , Jessica Cameron , Susanna Cramb , Peter Baade , Kerrie Mengersen

We tackle limitations of ordinary differential equation-driven Susceptible-Infections-Removed (SIR) models and their extensions that have recently be employed for epidemic nowcasting and forecasting. In particular, we deal with challenges…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-10 Angelos Alexopoulos , Paul Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

Statistical models often require inputs that are not completely known. This can occur when inputs are measured with error, indirectly, or when they are predicted using another model. In environmental epidemiology, air pollution exposure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Konstantin Larin , Daniel R. Kowal

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

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