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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are algorithms for sampling probability distributions, commonly applied to the Boltzmann distribution in physical and chemical models such as protein folding and the Ising model. These methods enable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 Aingeru Ramos , Jose A. Pascual , Javier Navaridas , Ivan Coluzza

We present a learning model predictive control (MPC) scheme for chance-constrained Markov jump systems with unknown switching probabilities. Using samples of the underlying Markov chain, ambiguity sets of transition probabilities are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

We consider parametric Markov decision processes (pMDPs) that are augmented with unknown probability distributions over parameter values. The problem is to compute the probability to satisfy a temporal logic specification with any concrete…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Thom Badings , Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

We describe a probabilistic framework for synthesizing control policies for general multi-robot systems, given environment and sensor models and a cost function. Decentralized, partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs) are…

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

In many branches of engineering, Banach contraction mapping theorem is employed to establish the convergence of certain deterministic algorithms. Randomized versions of these algorithms have been developed that have proved useful in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Abhishek Gupta , Rahul Jain , Peter Glynn

This paper considers a Markov-modulated duplication-deletion random graph where at each time instant, one node can either join or leave the network; the probabilities of joining or leaving evolve according to the realization of a finite…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-03-04 Maziyar Hamdi , Vikram Krishnamurthy , George Yin

In distributed machine learning, data is dispatched to multiple machines for processing. Motivated by the fact that similar data points often belong to the same or similar classes, and more generally, classification rules of high accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-16 Travis Dick , Mu Li , Venkata Krishna Pillutla , Colin White , Maria Florina Balcan , Alex Smola

We present an algorithm for the problem of linear distributed estimation of a parameter in a network where a set of agents are successively taking measurements. The approach considers a roaming token in a network that carries the estimate,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-05 Lucas Balthazar , João Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli

Randomization is a powerful technique to create robust controllers, in particular in partially observable settings. The degrees of randomization have a significant impact on the system performance, yet they are intricate to get right. The…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Linus Heck , Jip Spel , Sebastian Junges , Joshua Moerman , Joost-Pieter Katoen

In this work, dynamic Bayesian multinets are introduced where a Markov chain state at time t determines conditional independence patterns between random variables lying within a local time window surrounding t. It is shown how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jeff A. Bilmes

Adaptive model predictive control (MPC) robustly ensures safety while reducing uncertainty during operation. In this paper, a distributed version is proposed to deal with network systems featuring multiple agents and limited communication.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-17 Anilkumar Parsi , Ahmed Aboudonia , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We present several Monte Carlo strategies for simulating discrete-time Markov chains with continuous multi-dimensional state space; we focus on stratified techniques. We first analyze the variance of the calculation of the measure of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Rana Fakhereddine , Rami El Haddad , Christian Lécot

A key motivation in the development of Distributed Model Predictive Control (DMPC) is to accelerate centralized Model Predictive Control (MPC) for large-scale systems. DMPC has the prospect of scaling well by parallelizing computations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Gösta Stomberg , Maurice Raetsch , Alexander Engelmann , Timm Faulwasser

Diffusion processes are instrumental to describe the movement of a continuous quantity in a generic network of interacting agents. Here, we present a probabilistic framework for diffusion in networks and propose to classify agent…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-28 Wai Hong Ronald Chan , Matthias Wildemeersch , Tony Q. S. Quek

In the process of building (structural learning) a probabilistic graphical model from a set of observed data, the directional, cyclic dependencies between the random variables of the model are often found. Existing graphical models such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Oleksii Sirotkin

In this article we propose a novel MCMC method based on deterministic transformations T: X x D --> X where X is the state-space and D is some set which may or may not be a subset of X. We refer to our new methodology as Transformation-based…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya