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Poverty mapping that displays spatial distribution of various poverty indices is most useful to policymakers and researchers when they are disaggregated into small geographic units, such as cities, municipalities or other administrative…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-18 Partha Lahiri , Jiraphan Suntornchost

Many countries measure poverty based only on income or consumption. However, there is a growing awareness of measuring poverty through multiple dimensions that captures a more reasonable status of poverty. Estimating poverty measure(s) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Soumojit Das , Dilshanie Deepawansa , Partha Lahiri

Poverty mapping is a powerful tool to study the geography of poverty. The choice of the spatial resolution is central as poverty measures defined at a coarser level may mask their heterogeneity at finer levels. We introduce a small area…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Enrico Fabrizi , Aldo Gardini

Identifying and addressing poverty is challenging in administrative units with limited information on income distribution and well-being. To overcome this obstacle, small area estimation methods have been developed to provide reliable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Nicolas Frink , Timo Schmid

National statistical agencies are regularly required to produce estimates about various subpopulations, formed by demographic and/or geographic classifications, based on a limited number of samples. Traditional direct estimates computed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Shuchi Goyal , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

Poverty maps derived from satellite imagery are increasingly used to inform high-stakes policy decisions, such as the allocation of humanitarian aid and the distribution of government resources. Such poverty maps are typically constructed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Emily Aiken , Esther Rolf , Joshua Blumenstock

We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Varun Kshirsagar , Jerzy Wieczorek , Sharada Ramanathan , Rachel Wells

Up-to-date poverty maps are an important tool for policy makers, but until now, have been prohibitively expensive to produce. We propose a generalizable prediction methodology to produce poverty maps at the village level using geospatial…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Kamwoo Lee , Jeanine Braithwaite

Poverty is a serious issue that harms humanity progression. The simplest solution is to use one-shirt-size policy to alleviate it. Nevertheless, each region has its unique issues, which require a unique solution to solve them. In the aspect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Irving Gómez-Méndez , Chainarong Amornbunchornvej

As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national level. However, the epidemic models…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-18 Le Bao , Mary Mahy , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Peter Ghys

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

We consider the estimation of wealth inequality measures with their confidence interval, based on survey data with interval censoring. We rely on a Bayesian hierarchical model. It consists of a model where, due to survey sampling and unit…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-01 Eric Gautier

The evaluation of a multifaceted program against extreme poverty in different developing countries gave encouraging results, but with important heterogeneity between countries. This master thesis proposes to study this heterogeneity with a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-15 Louis Charlot

In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for guiding policy and identifying disparities. Many indicators of interest are proportions of binary outcomes and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-23 Jon Wakefield , Peter A. Gao , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Zehang Richard Li

We propose an approximate hierarchical Bayes approach that uses the Natural Exponential Family with Quadratic Variance Function in combining information from multiple sources to improve traditional survey estimates of finite population…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Soumojit Das , Partha Lahiri

Accurate, fine-grained poverty maps remain scarce across much of the Global South. While Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) provide high-quality socioeconomic data, their spatial coverage is limited and reported coordinates are randomly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Markus B. Pettersson , Adel Daoud

In low and middle income countries, household surveys are a valuable source of information for a range of health and demographic indicators. Increasingly, subnational estimates are required for targeting interventions and evaluating…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Katie Wilson , Jon Wakefield

In small area estimation, it is sometimes necessary to use model-based methods to produce estimates in areas with little or no data. In official statistics, we often require that some aggregate of small area estimates agree with a national…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Taylor Okonek , Jon Wakefield

The financial and economic crisis recently experienced by many European countries has increased demand for timely, coherent and consistent distributional information for the household sector. In the Euro area, most of the NCBs collect such…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-27 Michele Cantarella , Andrea Neri , Maria Giovanna Ranalli
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