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Related papers: A coupling approach to Doob's theorem

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Let $X_n, n \ge 0$ be a Markov chain with finite state space $M$. If $x,y \in M$ such that $x$ is transient we have $P^y(X_n = x) \to 0$ for $n \to \infty$, and under mild aperiodicity conditions this convergence is monotone in that for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Philipp König , Thomas Richthammer

For general penalized Markov processes with soft killing, we propose a simple criterion ensuring uniform convergence of conditional distributions in Wasserstein distance to a unique quasi-stationary distribution. We give several examples of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Nicolas Champagnat , Edouard Strickler , Denis Villemonais

Let $T \colon M \to M$ be a nonuniformly expanding dynamical system, such as logistic or intermittent map. Let $v \colon M \to \mathbb{R}^d$ be an observable and $v_n = \sum_{k=0}^{n-1} v \circ T^k$ denote the Birkhoff sums. Given a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Alexey Korepanov

We prove several necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of (smooth) transition probability densities for L\'evy processes and isotropic L\'evy processes. Under some mild conditions on the characteristic exponent we calculate…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-31 V. Knopova , R. L. Schilling

Tau leap schemes were originally designed for the efficient time stepping of discrete state and continuous in time Markov processes arising in stochastic chemical kinetics. Previous convergence results on tau leaping schemes have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Muruhan Rathinam

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

We study the model of random permutations of $n$ objects with polynomially growing cycle weights, which was recently considered by Ercolani and Ueltschi, among others. Using saddle-point analysis, we prove that the total variation distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Julia Storm , Dirk Zeindler

Let $Q$ be a transition probability on a measurable space $E$ which admits an invariant probability measure, let $(X_n)_n$ be a Markov chain associated to $Q$, and let $\xi$ be a real-valued measurable function on $E$, and $S_n=\sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Loïc Hervé

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

In this short note we provide an elementary proof that a certain type of nonuniform sequential Doeblin minorization condition implies non-uniform sequential "geometric" ergodicity. Using this result several limit theorems for inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Yeor Hafouta , Brenden Williams

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

We show that boundary theory for transient Markov chains, as initiated by Doob, can be used to prove de Finetti's classical representation result for exchangeable random sequences. We also include the relevant parts of the theory, with full…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Julian Gerstenberg , Rudolf Grübel , Klaas Hagemann

Stochastic convergence of discrete time Markov processes has been analysed based on a dual Lyapunov approach. Using some existing results on ergodic theory of Markov processes, it has been shown that existence of a properly subinvariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Özkan Karabacak , Horia Cornean , Rafael Wisniewski

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

It is shown that large deviation statistical quantities of the discrete time, finite state Markov process $P_{n+1}^{(j)}=\sum_{k=1}^NH_{jk}P_n^{(k)}$, where P_n^{(j)} is the probability for the j-state at the time step n and H_{jk} is the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Miki U. Kobayashi , Hirokazu Fujisaka , Syuji Miyazaki

Invariance principles are obtained for a Markov process on a half-line with continuous paths on the interior. The domains of attraction of the two different types of self-similar processes are investigated. Our approach is to establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Kouji Yano

We investigate some asymptotic properties of general Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed by moving boundaries. We first give general criteria involving an exponential convergence towards the Q-process, that is the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain