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Motivated by the prevalence of prediction problems in the economy, we study markets in which firms sell models to a consumer to help improve their prediction. Firms decide whether to enter, choose models to train on their data, and set…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-10 Krishna Dasaratha , Juan Ortner , Chengyang Zhu

We study the sensitivity of the expected utility maximization problem in a continuous semi-martingale market with respect to small changes in the market price of risk. Assuming that the preferences of a rational economic agent are modeled…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Oleksii Mostovyi , Mihai Sîrbu

We study a simple model of an asset market with informed and non-informed agents. In the absence of non-informed agents, the market becomes information efficient when the number of traders with different private information is large enough.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Fabio Caccioli , Matteo Marsili

The task of infomin learning aims to learn a representation with high utility while being uninformative about a specified target, with the latter achieved by minimising the mutual information between the representation and the target. It…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Yanzhi Chen , Weihao Sun , Yingzhen Li , Adrian Weller

A monopoly platform sells either a risky product (with unknown utility) or a safe product (with known utility) to agents who sequentially arrive and learn the utility of the risky product by the reporting of previous agents. It is costly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Kaiwei Zhang , Xi Weng , Xienan Cheng

In this paper, we derive and analyze a continuous of a binary option market with exogenous information. The resulting non-linear system has a discontinuous right hand side, which can be analyzed using zero-dimensional Filippov surfaces.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Hannah Gampe , Christopher Griffin

The present paper shows that it can be advantageous for traders to publish their information on the true value of an asset even if they (i) cannot build a position in the asset prior to the publication of their information and (ii) cannot…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Wolfgang Kuhle

Energy market designs with non-merchant storage have been proposed in recent years, with the aim of achieving optimal market integration of storage. In order to handle the time-linking constraints that are introduced in such markets,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Linde Frölke , Eléa Prat , Pierre Pinson , Richard M. Lusby , Jalal Kazempour

We study the utilitarian distortion of social choice mechanisms under the recently proposed learning-augmented framework where some (possibly unreliable) predicted information about the preferences of the agents is given as input. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Georgios Kalantzis , Alexandros A. Voudouris

This survey reviews recent developments in revealed preference theory. It discusses the testable implications of theories of choice that are germane to specific economic environments. The focus is on expected utility in risky environments;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-12-04 Federico Echenique

Betting markets are gaining in popularity. Mean beliefs generally differ from prices in prediction markets. Logarithmic utility is employed to study the risk and return adjustments to prices. Some consequences are described. A modified…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-19 Bernhard K Meister

Individuals are often influenced by the behavior of others, for instance because they wish to obtain the benefits of coordinated actions or infer otherwise inaccessible information. In such situations this social influence decreases the ex…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-14 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass , Paul Ormerod

In this paper we design information elicitation mechanisms for Bayesian auctions. While in Bayesian mechanism design the distributions of the players' private types are often assumed to be common knowledge, information elicitation considers…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Jing Chen , Bo Li , Yingkai Li

When selling information products, the seller can provide some free partial information to change people's valuations so that the overall revenue can possibly be increased. We study the general problem of advertising information products by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Shuran Zheng , Yiling Chen

We study the effects of data sharing between firms on prices, profits, and consumer welfare. Although indiscriminate sharing of consumer data decreases firm profits due to the subsequent increase in competition, selective sharing can be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Ronen Gradwohl , Moshe Tennenholtz

Following the idea of Bayesian learning via Gaussian mixture model, we organically combine the backward-looking information contained in the historical data and the forward-looking information implied by the market portfolio, which is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-30 Yi Huang , Wei Zhu , Duan Li , Shushang Zhu , Shikun Wang

Accurate option pricing is essential for effective trading and risk management in financial markets, yet it remains challenging due to market volatility and the limitations of traditional models like Black-Scholes. In this paper, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Feliks Bańka , Jarosław A. Chudziak

This paper proposes a regression market for wind agents to monetize data traded among themselves for wind power forecasting. Existing literature on data markets often treats data disclosure as a binary choice or modulates the data quality…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-04 Liyang Han , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour

When users lack specific knowledge of various system parameters, their uncertainty may lead them to make undesirable deviations in their decision making. To alleviate this, an informed system operator may elect to signal information to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Bryce L. Ferguson , Philip N. Brown , Jason R. Marden

An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g., where exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-04 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan , Ali E. Abbas , Zbigniew R. Struzik
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