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This study explores the behavioral dynamics of illiquid stock prices in a listed stock market. Illiquidity, characterized by wide bid and ask spreads affects price formation by decoupling prices from standard risk and return relationships…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Erina Nanyonga , Juma Kasozi , Fred Mayambala , Hassan W. Kayondo , Matt Davison

Modern approaches to stock pricing in quantitative finance are typically founded on the 'Black-Scholes model' and the underlying 'random walk hypothesis'. Empirical data indicate that this hypothesis works well in stable situations but, in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 Diederik Aerts , Bart D'Hooghe , Sandro Sozzo

A new mathematical model for the Black-Scholes equation is proposed to forecast option prices. This model includes new interval for the price of the underlying stock as well as new initial and boundary conditions. Conventional notions of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Michael V. Klibanov , Andrey V. Kuzhuget

In this study, we consider the asset pricing under model uncertainty with discrete time and states structure. For the single-period securities model, we give a novel definition of arbitrage under a family of probability, and explore of its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

We study the pricing problem for a European call option when the volatility of the underlying asset is random and follows the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. The random diffusion model proposed is a two-dimensional market process that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Ronnie Sircar , Jaume Masoliver

This paper studies the robust reinsurance and investment games for competitive insurers. Model uncertainty is characterized by a class of equivalent probability measures. Each insurer is concerned with relative performance under the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-13 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Yi Xia

We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix $\underline{\underline{E}}$ onto a non-random vector. The scaling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Przemysław Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

Financial markets have developed a lot of strategies to control risks induced by market fluctuations. Mathematics has emerged as the leading discipline to address fundamental questions in finance as asset pricing model and hedging…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Nicole El Karoui

One the one hand, rough volatility has been shown to provide a consistent framework to capture the properties of stock price dynamics both under the historical measure and for pricing purposes. On the other hand, market price of volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

This paper deals with an extension of the so-called Black-Scholes model in which the volatility is modeled by a linear combination of the components of the solution of a differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Nicolas Marie

A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinion, which results from the combination of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-09 Serge Galam

Model risk arises from the misspecification of probabilistic models used for pricing and hedging derivatives. While model risk for European-style claims has been widely studied, much less attention has been given to American-style…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Luna Rigby , Rüdiger Frey , Erik Schlögl

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

We focus on two particular aspects of model risk: the inability of a chosen model to fit observed market prices at a given point in time (calibration error) and the model risk due to recalibration of model parameters (in contradiction to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-23 Yu Feng , Ralph Rudd , Christopher Baker , Qaphela Mashalaba , Melusi Mavuso , Erik Schlögl

Assuming that price of the underlying stock is moving in range bound, the Black-Scholes formula for options pricing supports a separation of variables. The resulting time-independent equation is solved employing different behavior of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-24 Ovidiu Racorean

We study the problem of maximising terminal utility for an agent facing model uncertainty, in a frictionless discrete-time market with one safe asset and finitely many risky assets. We show that an optimal investment strategy exists if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-10 Miklós Rásonyi , Andrea Meireles-Rodrigues

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

Standard quantitative models of the stock market predict a log-normal distribution for stock returns (Bachelier 1900, Osborne 1959), but it is recognised (Fama 1965) that empirical data, in comparison with a Gaussian, exhibit leptokurtosis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

We consider the Black--Scholes model of financial market modified to capture the stochastic nature of volatility observed at real financial markets. For volatility driven by the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, we establish the existence of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-08 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura
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