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Conventionally, regression discontinuity analysis contrasts a univariate regression's limits as its independent variable, $R$, approaches a cut-point, $c$, from either side. Alternative methods target the average treatment effect in a small…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-21 Adam C. Sales , Ben B. Hansen

This study considers regression analysis of a circular response with an error-prone linear covariate. Starting with an existing estimator of the circular regression function that assumes error-free covariate, three approaches are proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Nicholas Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang

This paper establishes a nearly optimal algorithm for estimating the frequencies and amplitudes of a mixture of sinusoids from noisy equispaced samples. We derive our algorithm by viewing line spectral estimation as a sparse recovery…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Gongguo Tang , Badri Narayan Bhaskar , Benjamin Recht

We consider the problem of performing linear regression over a stream of $d$-dimensional examples, and show that any algorithm that uses a subquadratic amount of memory exhibits a slower rate of convergence than can be achieved without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Vatsal Sharan , Aaron Sidford , Gregory Valiant

Nonparametric estimators of a regression function with circular response and Rd-valued predictor are considered in this work. Local polynomial type estimators are proposed and studied. Expressions for their asymptotic biases and variances…

In this paper, we deal with the data-driven selection of multidimensional and possibly anisotropic bandwidths in the general framework of kernel empirical risk minimization. We propose a universal selection rule, which leads to optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Michaël Chichignoud , Sébastien Loustau

We propose a new estimation method for heterogeneous causal effects which utilizes a regression discontinuity (RD) design for multiple datasets with different thresholds. The standard RD design is frequently used in applied researches, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-14 Takayuki Toda , Ayako Wakano , Takahiro Hoshino

We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the gauge approach to deduce the conformity score induced by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Paulo C. Marques F. , Helton Graziadei

Kernel Estimation is one of the most widely used estimation methods in non-parametric Statistics, having a wide-range of applications, including spot volatility estimation of stochastic processes. The selection of bandwidth and kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-15 José E. Figueroa-López , Cheng Li

Bandwidth selection is crucial in the kernel estimation of density level sets. A risk based on the symmetric difference between the estimated and true level sets is usually used to measure their proximity. In this paper we provide an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Wanli Qiao

Simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for percentiles in linear regression are valuable tools with many applications. In this paper, we propose a novel criterion for comparing SCBs for percentiles, termed the Minimum Area Confidence Set…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-15 Lingjiao Wang , Yang Han , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

Allthough nonparametric kernel density estimation with bias reduce is nowadays a standard technique in explorative data-analysis, there is still a big dispute on how to assess the quality of the estimate and which choice of bandwidth is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Hamza Dhakera , El Hadji Demeb , Youssou Cissb

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We study kernel estimation of highest-density regions (HDR). Our main contributions are two-fold. First, we derive a uniform-in-bandwidth asymptotic approximation to a risk that is appropriate for HDR estimation. This approximation is then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 R. J. Samworth , M. P. Wand

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

We consider the problem of learning a target function corresponding to a deep, extensive-width, non-linear neural network with random Gaussian weights. We consider the asymptotic limit where the number of samples, the input dimension and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Hugo Cui , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

The bandwidth of a kernel function is a crucial parameter in the mean shift algorithm. This paper proposes a novel adaptive bandwidth strategy which contains three main contributions. (1) The differences among different adaptive bandwidth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Fanyang Meng , Hong Liu , Yongsheng Liang , Wei Liu , Jihong Pei

We investigate the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) method where the step size lies within a banded region instead of being given by a fixed formula. The optimal convergence rate under mild conditions and large initial step size is proved.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Xiaoyu Wang , Ya-xiang Yuan

A new method of bandwidth selection for kernel density estimators is proposed. The method, termed indirect cross-validation, or ICV, makes use of so-called selection kernels. Least squares cross-validation (LSCV) is used to select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-02 Olga Y. Savchuk , Jeffrey D. Hart , Simon J. Sheather

In the conventional regression-discontinuity (RD) design, the probability that units receive a treatment changes discontinuously as a function of one covariate exceeding a threshold or cutoff point. This paper studies an extended RD design…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-13 Eugenio Felipe Merlano