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Modelling of precipitation and its extremes is important for urban and agriculture planning purposes. We present a method for producing spatial predictions and measures of uncertainty for spatio-temporal data that is heavy-tailed and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic

Multi-variate time series (MTS) data is a ubiquitous class of data abstraction in the real world. Any instance of MTS is generated from a hybrid dynamical system and their specific dynamics are usually unknown. The hybrid nature of such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Mobile technology enables unprecedented continuous monitoring of an individual's behavior, social interactions, symptoms, and other health conditions, presenting an enormous opportunity for therapeutic advancements and scientific…

Probabilistic topic models are a powerful tool for extracting latent themes from large text datasets. In many text datasets, we also observe per-document covariates (e.g., source, style, political affiliation) that act as environments that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Dominic Sobhani , Amir Feder , David Blei

Contextual sensing and delivery of digital interventions to improve health outcomes have gained significant traction in behavioral and psychiatric studies. Micro-randomized trials (MRTs) are a common experimental design for obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

Physical processes rarely occur in isolation, rather they influence and interact with one another. Thus, there is great benefit in modeling potential dependence between both spatial locations and different processes. It is the interaction…

With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

For exchangeable data, mixture models are an extremely useful tool for density estimation due to their attractive balance between smoothness and flexibility. When additional covariate information is present, mixture models can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sara Wade , Vanda Inacio , Sonia Petrone

This paper contributes to the multivariate analysis of marked spatio-temporal point process data by introducing different partial point characteristics and extending the spatial dependence graph model formalism. Our approach yields a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-06 Matthias Eckardt , Jonatan A. González , Jorge Mateu

The problem of broad practical interest in spatiotemporal data analysis, i.e., discovering interpretable dynamic patterns from spatiotemporal data, is studied in this paper. Towards this end, we develop a time-varying reduced-rank vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Xinyu Chen , Chengyuan Zhang , Xiaoxu Chen , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

Accurate imputation is essential for the reliability and success of downstream tasks. Recently, diffusion models have attracted great attention in this field. However, these models neglect the latent distribution in a lower-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Guojun Liang , Najmeh Abiri , Atiye Sadat Hashemi , Jens Lundström , Stefan Byttner , Prayag Tiwari

We develop a unified statistical framework for attributing heatwaves as spatio-temporal phenomena under climate change. We quantify the impact of anthropogenic forcing on the probability and persistence of heatwaves not captured by standard…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Kamal Gasser , Johan Segers , Francesco Ragone

We introduce deep Markov spatio-temporal factorization (DMSTF), a generative model for dynamical analysis of spatio-temporal data. Like other factor analysis methods, DMSTF approximates high dimensional data by a product between time…

Multivariate geostatistics is based on modelling all covariances between all possible combinations of two or more variables at any sets of locations in a continuously indexed domain. Multivariate spatial covariance models need to be built…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Data with spatial-temporal attributes are prevalent across many research fields, and statistical models for analyzing spatio-temporal relationships are widely used. Existing reviews focus either on specific domains or model types, creating…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Isabella Habereder , Thomas Kneib , Isao Echizen , Timo Spinde

Non-gaussian spatial data are very common in many disciplines. For instance, count data are common in disease mapping, and binary data are common in ecology. When fitting spatial regressions for such data, one needs to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 John Hughes , Murali Haran

Traffic forecasting is essential for the traffic construction of smart cities in the new era. However, traffic data's complex spatial and temporal dependencies make traffic forecasting extremely challenging. Most existing traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Wei Zhao , Shiqi Zhang , Bing Zhou , Bei Wang

We consider monotonic, multiple regression for a set of contiguous regions (lattice data). The regression functions permissibly vary between regions and exhibit geographical structure. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Christian Rohrbeck , Deborah Costain , Arnoldo Frigessi

Evaluating the effects of time-varying exposures is essential for longitudinal studies. The effect estimation becomes increasingly challenging when dealing with hundreds of time-dependent confounders. We propose a Marginal Structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Zhiwei Zhao , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian