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We study the split Conformal Prediction method when applied to Markovian data. We quantify the gap in terms of coverage induced by the correlations in the data (compared to exchangeable data). This gap strongly depends on the mixing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Frédéric Zheng , Alexandre Proutiere

Scene viewing is used to study attentional selection in complex but still controlled environments. One of the main observations on eye movements during scene viewing is the inhomogeneous distribution of fixation locations: While some parts…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-14 Hans A. Trukenbrod , Simon Barthelmé , Felix A. Wichmann , Ralf Engbert

Existing studies on the degree correlation of evolving networks typically rely on differential equations and statistical analysis, resulting in only approximate solutions due to inherent randomness. To address this limitation, we propose an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-13 Yue Xiao , Xiaojun Zhang

The study of complex networks has been historically based on simple graph data models representing relationships between individuals. However, often reality cannot be accurately captured by a flat graph model. This has led to the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-21 Matteo Magnani , Barbora Micenkova , Luca Rossi

In this paper we study various properties of finite stochastic systems or hidden Markov chains as they are alternatively called. We discuss their construction following different approaches and we also derive recursive filtering formulas…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Peter Spreij

We study the correlation structure of firm growth rates. We show that most firms are correlated because of their exposure to a common factor but that firms linked through the supply chain exhibit a stronger correlation on average than firms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-04 Luca Mungo , José Moran

Spatial correlation functions provide a glimpse into the quantum correlations within a quantum system. Ions in a linear trap collectively form a nonuniform, discretized background on which a scalar field of phonons propagates. Trapped ions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-09-29 Nicolas C. Menicucci , G. J. Milburn

In this study, we propose a mixture logistic regression model with a Markov structure, and consider the estimation of model parameters using maximum likelihood estimation. We also provide a forward type variable selection algorithm to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Yu-Hsiang Cheng , Tzee-Ming Huang

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

Growing dimensionality of data calls for beyond-pairwise interactions quantification. Measures of multidimensional interactions quantification are hindered, among others, by two issues: 1. Interpretation difficulties, 2. the curse of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-12 Rodríguez , Jhan , Bárdossy , András

We introduce the coverage correlation coefficient, a novel nonparametric measure of statistical association designed to quantifies the extent to which two random variables have a joint distribution concentrated on a singular subset with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Xuzhi Yang , Mona Azadkia , Tengyao Wang

This paper presents a new approach to partial parsing of context-free structures. The approach is based on Markov Models. Each layer of the resulting structure is represented by its own Markov Model, and output of a lower layer is passed as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Thorsten Brants

We calculate correlation functions in matrix models modified by trace-squared terms. First we study scaling operators in modified one-matrix models and find that their correlation functions satisfy modified Virasoro constraints. Then we…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-09-06 J. L. F. Barbón , K. Demeterfi , I. ~R. Klebanov , C. Schmidhuber

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We study the structure of quantum Markov Processes from the point of view of product systems and their representations.

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul S. Muhly , Baruch Solel

Motivation: Standard algorithms for pairwise protein sequence alignment make the simplifying assumption that amino acid substitutions at neighboring sites are uncorrelated. This assumption allows implementation of fast algorithms for…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-27 Gavin E. Crooks , Richard E. Green , Steven E. Brenner

Higher order parametric level correlations in disordered systems with broken time-reversal symmetry are studied by mapping the problem onto a model of coupled Hermitian random matrices. Closed analytical expression is derived for parametric…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 E. Kanzieper , V. Freilikher

We construct a "hyperparameter matrix" statistical method for performing the joint analyses of multiple correlated astronomical data sets, in which the weights of data sets are determined by their own statistical properties. This method is…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-05-20 Yin-Zhe Ma , Aaron Berndsen

We consider an ensemble of $K$ single-layer perceptrons exposed to random inputs and investigate the conditions under which the couplings of these perceptrons can be chosen such that prescribed correlations between the outputs occur. A…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-28 D. Malzahn , A. Engel , I. Kanter

When two Markov operators commute, it suggests that we can couple two copies of one of the corresponding processes. We explicitly construct a number of couplings of this type for a commuting family of Markov processes on the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Anthony P. Metcalfe , Neil O'Connell , Jon Warren