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It is often claimed that Bayesian methods, in particular Bayes factor methods for hypothesis testing, can deal with optional stopping. We first give an overview, using elementary probability theory, of three different mathematical meanings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Allard Hendriksen , Rianne de Heide , Peter Grünwald

In this paper we present a model independent analysis method following Bayesian statistics to analyse data from a generic counting experiment and apply it to the search for neutrinos from point sources. We discuss a test statistic defined…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-12 D. Bose , L. Brayeur , M. Casier , K. D. de Vries , G. Golup , N. van Eijndhoven

Sensor noise sources cause differences in the signal recorded across pixels in a single image and across multiple images. This paper presents a Bayesian approach to decomposing and characterizing the sensor noise sources involved in imaging…

The significance of having detected an astrophysical gamma ray source is usually calculated by means of a formula derived by Li & Ma in 1983. We solve the same problem in terms of Bayesian statistics, which provides a logically more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. Gillessen , H. L. Harney

Several statistics used by physicists to declare the signal observability over the background are compared. It is shown that the frequentist method of testing a precise hypothesis allows one to estimate the power value of criteria with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

We consider filters for the detection and extraction of compact sources on a background. We make a one-dimensional treatment (though a generalization to two or more dimensions is possible) assuming that the sources have a Gaussian profile…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Lopez-Caniego , D. Herranz , R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz

The detection and flux estimation of point sources in cosmic microwave background (CMB) maps is a very important task in order to clean the maps and also to obtain relevant astrophysical information. In this paper we propose a maximum a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 F. Argueso , E. Salerno , D. Herranz , J. L. Sanz , E. E. Kuruoglu , K. Kayabol

The MiniBooNE excess persists as a significant puzzle in particle physics. Given that the MiniBooNE detector cannot discriminate between electron-like signals and backgrounds due to photons, the goal of this work is to study photon…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-31 Kevin J. Kelly , Joachim Kopp

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential part of the Bayesian toolbox for addressing problems in which the likelihood is prohibitively expensive or entirely unknown, making it intractable. ABC defines a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Hien D. Nguyen , Julyan Arbel , Hongliang Lü , Florence Forbes

Quantum optics experiments, involving the measurement of low-probability photon events, are known to be extremely time-consuming. We present a new methodology for accelerating such experiments using physically-motivated ansatzes together…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-11 Cristian L. Cortes , Sushovit Adhikari , Xuedan Ma , Stephen K. Gray

Any single on-off photocounter, which can only detect the presence or absence of photons without discriminating their number, is not capable of identifying nonclassical nature of light. This limitation arises because any photocounting…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 V. S. Kovtoniuk , M. Bohmann , A. A. Semenov

The article addresses the problem of detecting presence and location of a small low emission source inside of an object, when the background noise dominates. This problem arises, for instance, in some homeland security applications. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Xiaolei Xun , Bani Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll , Peter Kuchment

In Bayesian optimization, accounting for the importance of the output relative to the input is a crucial yet challenging exercise, as it can considerably improve the final result but often involves inaccurate and cumbersome entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-30 Antoine Blanchard , Themistoklis Sapsis

A multi-imaging strategy is proposed and experimentally tested to improve the accuracy of photon counting with an electron multiplying charge-coupled device (EMCCD), by taking into account the random nature of its on-chip gain and the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Eric Lantz , Jean Luc Blanchet , Luca Furfaro , Fabrice Devaux

The present paper introduces a fully objective Bayesian analysis to obtain the posterior distribution of an entropy measure. Notably, we consider the gamma distribution, which describes many natural phenomena in physics, engineering, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Eduardo Ramos , Osafu A. Egbon , Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis

A reliable source of identical (indistinguishable) photons is a prerequisite for exploiting interference effects, which is a necessary component for linear optical based quantum computing, and applications thereof such as Boson sampling.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-11-18 Jeffrey Marshall

Source separation is one of the signal processing's main emerging domain. Many techniques such as maximum likelihood (ML), Infomax, cumulant matching, estimating function, etc. have been used to address this difficult problem.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ali Mohammad-Djafari

We suggest a method for statistical tests which does not suffer from a posteriori manipulations with tested samples (e.g. cuts optimization) and does not require a somewhat obscure procedure of the penalty estimate. The idea of the method…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Boris E. Stern , Juri Poutanen

In this note, an alternative for presenting the distribution of `significant' events in searches for new phenomena is described. The alternative is based on probability density functions used in the evaluation of the `significance' of an…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2019-02-25 Nicholas Wardle