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We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-03 Jonathan Donier , Julius Bonart , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Accurately forecasting the direction of financial returns poses a formidable challenge, given the inherent unpredictability of financial time series. The task becomes even more arduous when applied to cryptocurrency returns, given the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Filippo Barchi , Riccardo Busetto , Daniele Marazzina , Simone Formentin

We investigate present some new statistical properties of order books. We analyse data from the Nasdaq and investigate (a) the statistics of incoming limit order prices, (b) the shape of the average order book, and (c) the typical life time…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A large-scale service system with multiple customer classes and multiple server pools is considered, with the mean service time depending both on the customer class and server pool. The allowed activities (routing choices) form a tree (in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Alexander Stolyar

We briefly review data analysis of the Island order book, part of NASDAQ, which suggests a framework to which all limit order markets should comply. Using a simple exclusion particle model, we argue that short-time price over-diffusion in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

Order book imbalance (OBI) - buy orders minus sell orders near the best quote - measures supply-demand imbalance that can move prices. OBI is positively correlated with returns, and some investors try to use it to improve performance. Large…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Shuto Endo , Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi

Option pricing models, essential in financial mathematics and risk management, have been extensively studied and recently advanced by AI methodologies. However, American option pricing remains challenging due to the complexity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Qiguo Sun , Hanyue Huang , XiBei Yang , Yuwei Zhang

Pricing of high-dimensional options is one of the most important problems in Mathematical Finance. The objective of this manuscript is to present an original self-contained treatment of the multidimensional pricing. During the past decades…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Kushpel

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

The paper Borovkova et al. [4] uses moment matching method to obtain closed form formulas for spread and basket call option prices under log normal models. In this note, we also use moment matching method to obtain semi-closed form formulas…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Dongdong Hu , Hasanjan Sayit , Svetlozar T. Rachev

In this paper we consider the pricing of options on interest rates such as caplets and swaptions in the L\'evy Libor model developed by Eberlein and \"Ozkan (2005). This model is an extension to L\'evy driving processes of the classical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-21 Zorana Grbac , David Krief , Peter Tankov

Score-based diffusion models have demonstrated outstanding empirical performance in machine learning and artificial intelligence, particularly in generating high-quality new samples from complex probability distributions. Improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-30 Yuchen Jiao , Gen Li

This paper proposes an image-based robot motion planning method using a one-step diffusion model. While the diffusion model allows for high-quality motion generation, its computational cost is too expensive to control a robot in real time.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Tomoharu Aizu , Takeru Oba , Yuki Kondo , Norimichi Ukita

In this paper we introduce a completely continuous and time-variate model of the evolution of market limit orders based on the existence, uniqueness, and regularity of the solutions to a type of stochastic partial differential equations…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-29 Zhi Zheng , Richard B. Sowers

In this paper we investigate a dynamic pricing model for constant demand elasticity where customers have a probability distribution on the number of items they order. This is a generalization from standard models which restrict customers to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Nyles Breecher , Richard Stockbridge

A natural optimization model that formulates many online resource allocation and revenue management problems is the online linear program (LP) in which the constraint matrix is revealed column by column along with the corresponding…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-04-10 Shipra Agrawal , Zizhuo Wang , Yinyu Ye

It is a challenging task to identify the best possible models based on given empirical data of observed time series. Though the financial markets provide us with a vast amount of empirical data, the best model selection is still a big…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Vygintas Gontis

This article presents a new continuous-time modelling framework for multivariate time series of counts which have an infinitely divisible marginal distribution. The model is based on a mixed moving average process driven by L\'{e}vy noise -…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Almut E. D. Veraart

Optimal control models for limit order trading often assume that the underlying asset price is a Brownian motion since they deal with relatively short time scales. The resulting optimal bid and ask limit order prices tend to track the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-15 Saran Ahuja , George Papanicolaou , Weiluo Ren , Tzu-Wei Yang

We study the price impact of order book events - limit orders, market orders and cancelations - using the NYSE TAQ data for 50 U.S. stocks. We show that, over short time intervals, price changes are mainly driven by the order flow…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Rama Cont , Arseniy Kukanov , Sasha Stoikov
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