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We build a simple diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure in large cross-sectional equity datasets. Given a model for asset returns with observable factors, the criterion checks whether the error terms are weakly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Patrick Gagliardini , Elisa Ossola , Olivier Scaillet

Proficiency Testing (PT) determines the performance of individual laboratories for specific tests or measurements and it is used to monitor the reliability of laboratories measurements. PT plays a highly valuable role as it provides an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Reiko Aoki , Dorival Leão , Juan Pablo Mamani Bustamante , Filidor Vilca Labra

This article considers the problem of multiple hypothesis testing using $t$-tests. The observed data are assumed to be independently generated conditional on an underlying and unknown two-state hidden model. We propose an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Hongyuan Cao , Michael R. Kosorok

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

We study alpha factor mining, the automated discovery of predictive signals from noisy, non-stationary market data-under a practical requirement that mined factors be directly executable and auditable, and that the discovery process remain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Qinhong Lin , Ruitao Feng , Yinglun Feng , Zhenxin Huang , Yukun Chen , Zhongliang Yang , Linna Zhou , Binjie Fei , Jiaqi Liu , Yu Li

This paper motivates and develops a novel and focused approach to variable selection in linear regression models. For estimating the regression mean $\mu=\E\,(Y\midd x_0)$, for the covariate vector of a given individual, there is a list of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Nils Lid Hjort

Recommender systems leverage extensive user interaction data to model preferences; however, directly modeling these data may introduce biases that disproportionately favor popular items. In this paper, we demonstrate that popularity bias…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Jiahao Liu , Dongsheng Li , Hansu Gu , Peng Zhang , Tun Lu , Li Shang , Ning Gu

Intelligent fault diagnosis is essential to safe operation of machinery. However, due to scarce fault samples and data heterogeneity in field machinery, deep learning based diagnosis methods are prone to over-fitting with poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Sheng Guo , Zengxiang Li , Hui Liu , Shubao Zhao , Cheng Hao Jin

Investment style groups investment approaches to predict portfolio return variations. This study examines the relationship between investment style, style consistency, and risk-adjusted returns of Indian equity mutual funds. The methodology…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Rajesh ADJ Jeyaprakash , Senthil Arasu Balasubramanian , Vijay Maddikera

Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) is a standard approach to adapting large language models (LLMs) to new domains. In this work, we improve the statistical efficiency of SFT by selecting an informative subset of training examples. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Rohan Deb , Kiran Thekumparampil , Kousha Kalantari , Gaurush Hiranandani , Shoham Sabach , Branislav Kveton

In finite samples, the use of a slightly endogenous but highly relevant instrument can reduce mean-squared error (MSE). Building on this observation, I propose a novel moment selection procedure for GMM -- the Focused Moment Selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Francis J. DiTraglia

Conformalized multiple testing offers a model-free way to control predictive uncertainty in decision-making. Existing methods typically use only part of the available data to build score functions tailored to specific settings. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Yuyang Huo , Xiaoyang Wu , Changliang Zou , Haojie Ren

This paper studies the estimation of characteristic-based quantile factor models where the factor loadings are unknown functions of observed individual characteristics while the idiosyncratic error terms are subject to conditional quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo , Haozi Pan

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

Variable selection methods have been developed in linear regression to provide sparse solutions. Recent studies have focused on further interpretations on the sparse solutions in terms of false positive control. In this paper, we consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-25 X. Jessie Jeng , Xiongzhi Chen

We develop a factor analysis for mixed continuous and binary observed variables. To this end, we utilized a recently developed multivariate probability distribution for mixed-type random variables, the Gaussian-Grassmann distribution. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Takashi Arai

Beta-sorted portfolios -- portfolios comprised of assets with similar covariation to selected risk factors -- are a popular tool in empirical finance to analyze models of (conditional) expected returns. Despite their widespread use, little…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-12 Matias D. Cattaneo , Richard K. Crump , Weining Wang

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a high-dimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

The most popular multiple testing procedures are stepwise procedures based on $P$-values for individual test statistics. Included among these are the false discovery rate (FDR) controlling procedures of Benjamini--Hochberg [J. Roy. Statist.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Arthur Cohen , Harold B. Sackrowitz , Minya Xu

False discovery rate (FDR) procedures provide misleading inference when testing multiple null hypotheses with heterogeneous multinomial data. For example, in the motivating study the goal is to identify species of bacteria near the roots of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Joshua Habiger , David Watts , Michael Anderson
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