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Time series data may exhibit clustering over time and, in a multiple time series context, the clustering behavior may differ across the series. This paper is motivated by the Bayesian non--parametric modeling of the dependence between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-23 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Fabrizio Leisen

In recent years, conditional copulas, that allow dependence between variables to vary according to the values of one or more covariates, have attracted increasing attention. In high dimension, vine copulas offer greater flexibility compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Rosario Barone , Luciana Dalla Valle

We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Sparse linear prediction methods suffer from decreased prediction accuracy when the predictor variables have cluster structure (e.g. there are highly correlated groups of variables). To improve prediction accuracy, various methods have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Rebecca Marion , Johannes Lederer , Bernadette Govaerts , Rainer von Sachs

Modern regression analyses are often undermined by covariate measurement error, misspecification of the regression model, and misspecification of the measurement error distribution. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Mengqi Chen , Charita Dellaporta , Thomas B. Berrett , Theodoros Damoulas

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural framework to effectively integrate data and borrow information across groups. In this paper, we address problems related to density estimation and identifying clusters across related groups, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Huizi Zhang , Sara Wade , Natalia Bochkina

Nonparametric varying coefficient (NVC) models are useful for modeling time-varying effects on responses that are measured repeatedly for the same subjects. When the number of covariates is moderate or large, it is desirable to perform…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Ray Bai , Mary R. Boland , Yong Chen

Variable selection for recovering sparsity in nonadditive nonparametric models has been challenging. This problem becomes even more difficult due to complications in modeling unknown interaction terms among high dimensional variables. There…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-14 Zaili Fang , Inyoung Kim , Patrick Schaumont

Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-18 Emily B. Fox , Erik B. Sudderth , Michael I. Jordan , Alan S. Willsky

The Dirichlet Process Mixture Model (DPMM) is a Bayesian non-parametric approach widely used for density estimation and clustering. In this manuscript, we study the choice of prior for the variance or precision matrix when Gaussian kernels…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Wei Jing , Michail Papathomas , Silvia Liverani

We present a non-parametric Bayesian latent variable model capable of learning dependency structures across dimensions in a multivariate setting. Our approach is based on flexible Gaussian process priors for the generative mappings and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-16 Andrew R. Lawrence , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Directional data require specialized probability models because of the non-Euclidean and periodic nature of their domain. When a directional variable is observed jointly with linear variables, modeling their dependence adds an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Tong Zou , Hal S. Stern

The two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Process (PDP), a generalisation of the Dirichlet Process, is increasingly being used for probabilistic modelling in discrete areas such as language technology, bioinformatics, and image analysis. There is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Wray Buntine , Marcus Hutter

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework for clustering without pre-specifying the number of groups, yet they are well known to overestimate the number of clusters, especially for functional data. We show that a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Fumiya Iwashige , Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shintaro Hashimoto

In this paper we consider the problem of dynamic clustering, where cluster memberships may change over time and clusters may split and merge over time, thus creating new clusters and destroying existing ones. We propose a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Maria De Iorio , Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Lifeng Ye

We consider the problem of model-based clustering in the presence of many correlated, mixed continuous and discrete variables, some of which may have missing values. Discrete variables are treated with a latent continuous variable approach…

The Dirichlet process (DP) is a fundamental mathematical tool for Bayesian nonparametric modeling, and is widely used in tasks such as density estimation, natural language processing, and time series modeling. Although MCMC inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-09 Dan Lovell , Jonathan Malmaud , Ryan P. Adams , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

We propose a novel method for multiple clustering that assumes a co-clustering structure (partitions in both rows and columns of the data matrix) in each view. The new method is applicable to high-dimensional data. It is based on a…

We consider the problem of high-dimensional non-linear variable selection for supervised learning. Our approach is based on performing linear selection among exponentially many appropriately defined positive definite kernels that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-09-08 Francis Bach