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Related papers: A statistical test for Nested Sampling algorithms

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Bayesian inference with nested sampling requires a likelihood-restricted prior sampling method, which draws samples from the prior distribution that exceed a likelihood threshold. For high-dimensional problems, Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-13 Johannes Buchner

The main idea of nested sampling is to substitute the high-dimensional likelihood integral over the parameter space $\Omega$ by an integral over the unit line $[0,1]$ by employing a push-forward with respect to a suitable transformation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Doris Schittenhelm , Philipp Wacker

Nested Sampling is a method for computing the Bayesian evidence, also called the marginal likelihood, which is the integral of the likelihood with respect to the prior. More generally, it is a numerical probabilistic quadrature rule. The…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-09 Jonas Latz , Doris Schneider , Philipp Wacker

It was recently emphasised by Riley (2019); Schittenhelm & Wacker (2020) that that in the presence of plateaus in the likelihood function nested sampling (NS) produces faulty estimates of the evidence and posterior densities. After…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-05 Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Liangliang Su

Nested sampling (NS) is a stochastic method for computing the log-evidence of a Bayesian problem. It relies on stochastic estimates of prior volumes enclosed by likelihood contours, which limits the accuracy of the log-evidence calculation.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

Nested sampling (NS) computes parameter posterior distributions and makes Bayesian model comparison computationally feasible. Its strengths are the unsupervised navigation of complex, potentially multi-modal posteriors until a well-defined…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-11 Johannes Buchner

Nested sampling (NS) is an invaluable tool in data analysis in modern astrophysics, cosmology, gravitational wave astronomy and particle physics. We identify a previously unused property of NS related to order statistics: the insertion…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-25 Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Liangliang Su

Nested sampling is a promising tool for Bayesian statistical analysis because it simultaneously performs parameter estimation and facilitates model comparison. MultiNest is one of the most popular nested sampling implementations, and has…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-24 Alexander J. Dittmann

We introduce dynamic nested sampling: a generalisation of the nested sampling algorithm in which the number of "live points" varies to allocate samples more efficiently. In empirical tests the new method significantly improves calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edward Higson , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

Nested sampling (NS) is a popular algorithm for Bayesian computation. We investigate statistical errors in NS both analytically and numerically. We show two analytic results. First, we show that the leading terms in Skilling's expression…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 Andrew Fowlie , Qiao Li , Huifang Lv , Yecheng Sun , Jia Zhang , Le Zheng

Stratified sampling is a fast and simple method to generate point sets with uniform distribution in hypercubes. However, for the most common paraxial stratfication it has the prominent drawback that the number of sampled points in n…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-14 Simon Wessing

We introduce a novel technique within the Nested Sampling framework to enhance efficiency of the computation of Bayesian evidence, a critical component in scientific data analysis. In higher dimensions, Nested Sampling relies on Markov…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-19 Joshua G. Albert

Bayesian inference involves two main computational challenges. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the posterior distribution may well be highly multi-modal: a regime in which the convergence to stationarity of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-10 F. Feroz , M. P. Hobson , E. Cameron , A. N. Pettitt

Sampling from very large spatial populations is challenging. The solutions suggested in recent literature on this subject often require that the randomly selected units are well distributed across the study region by using complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Roberto Benedetti , Federica Piersimoni

Nested sampling is a Bayesian sampling technique developed to explore probability distributions lo- calised in an exponentially small area of the parameter space. The algorithm provides both posterior samples and an estimate of the evidence…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Nikolas S. Burkoff , Csilla Varnai , Stephen A. Wells , David L. Wild

Nested sampling is a simulation method for approximating marginal likelihoods proposed by Skilling (2006). We establish that nested sampling has an approximation error that vanishes at the standard Monte Carlo rate and that this error is…

Computation · Statistics 2010-10-11 Nicolas Chopin , Christian Robert

The performance of a machine learning system is usually evaluated by using i.i.d.\ observations with true labels. However, acquiring ground truth labels is expensive, while obtaining unlabeled samples may be cheaper. Stratified sampling can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-29 Tiancheng Yu , Xiyu Zhai , Suvrit Sra

Nested simulation is a natural approach to tackle nested estimation problems in operations research and financial engineering. The outer-level simulation generates outer scenarios and the inner-level simulations are run in each outer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-31 Kun Zhang , Ben Mingbin Feng , Guangwu Liu , Shiyu Wang

Lennard-Jones clusters, while an easy system, have a significant number of non equivalent configurations that increases rapidly with the number of atoms in the cluster. Here, we aim at determining the cluster partition function; we use the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-20 Lune Maillard , Fabio Finocchi , César Godinho , Martino Trassinelli

We study a ranking and selection problem of learning from choice-based feedback with dynamic assortments. In this problem, a company sequentially displays a set of items to a population of customers and collects their choices as feedback.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Junwen Yang , Yifan Feng
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