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A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

A new statistical model designed for regression analysis with a sparse design matrix is proposed. This new model utilizes the positions of the limited non-zero elements in the design matrix to decompose the regression model into…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-17 Hsien-Wei Chen

Observational studies of causal effects require adjustment for confounding factors. In the tabular setting, where these factors are well-defined, separate random variables, the effect of confounding is well understood. However, in public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Connor T. Jerzak , Fredrik Johansson , Adel Daoud

Latent-space optimization methods for counterfactual explanations - framed as minimal semantic perturbations that change model predictions - inherit the ambiguity of Wachter et al.'s objective: the choice of distance metric dictates whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Eslam Zaher , Maciej Trzaskowski , Quan Nguyen , Fred Roosta

Recent advances in deep learning have transformed many fields by introducing generic embedding spaces, capable of achieving great predictive performance with minimal labeling effort. The geology field has not yet met such success. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Jonathan Kavitzky , Jonathan Zarecki , Idan Brusilovsky , Uriel Singer

This paper presents methods for analyzing spatial experiments when complex spillovers, displacement effects, and other types of "interference" are present. We present a robust, design-based approach to analyzing effects in such settings.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Cyrus Samii , Ye Wang , Jonathan Sullivan , Peter M. Aronow

Random projections offer an appealing and flexible approach to a wide range of large-scale statistical problems. They are particularly useful in high-dimensional settings, where we have many covariates recorded for each observation. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 Timothy I. Cannings

We develop a cross-sectional research design to identify causal effects in the presence of unobservable heterogeneity without instruments. When units are dense in physical space, it may be sufficient to regress the "spatial first…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-22 Hannah Druckenmiller , Solomon Hsiang

Spatial prediction tasks are key to weather forecasting, studying air pollution impacts, and other scientific endeavors. Determining how much to trust predictions made by statistical or physical methods is essential for the credibility of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 David R. Burt , Yunyi Shen , Tamara Broderick

Image based diagnostics are interpreted in the context of spatial resolution. The same is true for tomographic image reconstruction. Current empirically driven approaches to quantify spatial resolution rely on a deterministic formulation…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-03 Johannes Emmert , Steven Wagner , Kyle J. Daun

The spatial linear mixed model (SLMM) consists of fixed and spatial random effects that may be linearly dependent. Partially motivated as a means to address potential issues with confounding, the Restricted spatial regression (RSR) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jonathan R. Bradley

We introduce causal geodesy, a framework for studying the landscape of stochastic interventions that lie between the two extremes of performing no intervention, and performing a sharp intervention that sets an exposure equal to a specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Kyle Schindl , Larry Wasserman

We show how random subspace methods can be adapted to estimating local projections with many controls. Random subspace methods have their roots in the machine learning literature and are implemented by averaging over regressions estimated…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-04 Viet Hoang Dinh , Didier Nibbering , Benjamin Wong

Spatial statistics is an area of study devoted to the statistical analysis of data that have a spatial label associated with them. Geographers often refer to the "location information" associated with the "attribute information," whose…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Noel Cressie , Matthew T. Moores

Dialect variation is of considerable interest in linguistics and other social sciences. However, traditionally it has been studied using proxies (transcriptions) rather than acoustic recordings directly. We introduce novel statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Shahin Tavakoli , Davide Pigoli , John A. D. Aston , John S. Coleman

Spatially embedded networks are shaped by a combination of purely topological (space-independent) and space-dependent formation rules. While it is quite easy to artificially generate networks where the relative importance of these two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-10 Franco Ruzzenenti , Francesco Picciolo , Riccardo Basosi , Diego Garlaschelli

Cooperative geolocation has attracted significant research interests in recent years. A large number of localization algorithms rely on the availability of statistical knowledge of measurement errors, which is often difficult to obtain in…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-05 Xiufang Shi , Guoqiang Mao , Brian. D. O. Anderson , Zaiyue Yang , Jiming Chen

A key condition for obtaining reliable estimates of the causal effect of a treatment is overlap (a.k.a. positivity): the distributions of the features used to perform causal adjustment cannot be too different in the treated and control…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-14 Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks
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