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Autonomous systems often operate in environments where the behavior of multiple agents is coordinated by a shared global state. Reliable estimation of the global state is thus critical for successfully operating in a multi-agent setting. We…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Shane Parr , Ishan Khatri , Justin Svegliato , Shlomo Zilberstein

This paper studies the opinion dynamics model recently introduced by Hegselmann and Krause: each agent in a group maintains a real number describing its opinion; and each agent updates its opinion by averaging all other opinions that are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-04-08 Anahita Mirtabatabaei , Francesco Bullo

The concept of a bounded confidence level is incorporated in a nonconservative kinetic exchange model of opinion dynamics model where opinions have continuous values $\in [-1,1]$. The characteristics of the unrestricted model, which has one…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-30 Parongama Sen

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

Statistical mechanics has proven to be able to capture the fundamental rules underlying phenomena of social aggregation and opinion dynamics, well studied in disciplines like sociology and psychology. This approach is based on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-09 Daniele Vilone , Timoteo Carletti , Franco Bagnoli , Andrea Guazzini

Binary kinetic exchange models, where money is shuffled between two agents at a time, reproduce the Boltzmann Gibbs exponential wealth distribution but cannot address the multi party trades common in real markets. We generalize the exchange…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Suchismita Banerjee

We examine how causal beliefs affect an agent's choices and how feedback on those choices leads to updated causal beliefs. Building on the structural-equations framework for modeling causality, we first examine the general problem of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont , Marie-Louise Vierø

The model of a non-Bayesian agent who faces a repeated game with incomplete information against Nature is an appropriate tool for modeling general agent-environment interactions. In such a model the environment state (controlled by Nature)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 D. Monderer , M. Tennenholtz

Real world markets display power-law features in variables such as price fluctuations in stocks. To further understand market behavior, we have conducted a series of market experiments on our web-based prediction market platform which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-05 Jie-Jun Tseng , Chih-Hao Lin , Chih-Ting Lin , Sun-Chong Wang , Sai-Ping Li

We construct a model of an exchange economy in which agents trade assets contingent on an observable signal, the probability of which depends on public opinion. The agents in our model are replaced occasionally and each person updates…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-28 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Roger Farmer

Engaging with dissenting views, fostering productive disagreements or strategic anticonformity can benefit organizations as it challenges the status quo. The question arises, however, whether such strategic anticonformity ultimately leads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-08 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

This paper addresses a mathematically tractable model of the Prisoner's Dilemma using the framework of active inference. In this work, we design pairs of Bayesian agents that are tracking the joint game state of their and their opponent's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-31 Daphne Demekas , Conor Heins , Brennan Klein

We show in a simulation when economic agents are subject to evolution (random change and selection based on the success in the estimation of the result of the gamble) they acquire risk aversive behavior. This behavior appears in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-07 Ihor Kendiukhov

We introduce a system of kinetic equations describing an exchange market consisting of two populations of agents (dealers and speculators) expressing the same preferences for two goods, but applying different strategies in their exchanges.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Carlo Brugna , Giuseppe Toscani

We study a model of opinion formation where the opinions in conflict are not equivalent. This is the case when the subject of the decision is to respect a norm or a law. In such scenarios, one of the possible behaviors is to abide by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-03-29 M. F. Laguna , G. Abramson , S. Risau-Gusman , J. R. Iglesias

Within the framework of a simple model for social influence, the Taylor model, we analytically investigate the role of stubborn agents in the overall opinion dynamics of networked systems. Similar to zealots, stubborn agents are biased…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-07 Fabian Baumann , Igor. M Sokolov , Melvyn Tyloo

This work suggests modifications to a previously introduced class of heterogeneous agent models that allow for the inclusion of different types of agent motivations and behaviours in a unified way. The agents operate within a highly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 H. Lamba , T. Seaman

We present a model of opinion dynamics in which agents adjust continuous opinions as a result of random binary encounters whenever their difference in opinion is below a given threshold. High thresholds yield convergence of opinions towards…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerard Weisbuch , Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard , Jean Pierre Nadal

Assessing the systemic effects of uncertainty that arises from agents' partial observation of the true states of the world is critical for understanding a wide range of scenarios. Yet, previous modeling work on agent learning and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-15 Wolfram Barfuss , Richard P. Mann

Opinion dynamics of a group of individuals is the change in the members' opinions through mutual interaction with each other. The related literature contains works in which the dynamics is modeled as a continuous system, of which behavioral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-01 F. Ataş , A. Demirci , C. Özemir