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Related papers: Likelihood-free inference via classification

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Learning a parametric model from a given dataset indeed enables to capture intrinsic dependencies between random variables via a parametric conditional probability distribution and in turn predict the value of a label variable given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Elouan Argouarc'h , François Desbouvries , Eric Barat , Eiji Kawasaki

We are living in the big data era, as current technologies and networks allow for the easy and routine collection of data sets in different disciplines. Bayesian Statistics offers a flexible modeling approach which is attractive for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 George Karabatsos , Fabrizio Leisen

Complex models used to describe biological processes in epidemiology and ecology often have computationally intractable or expensive likelihoods. This poses significant challenges in terms of Bayesian inference but more significantly in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Mahasen Dehideniya , Antony M. Overstall , Chris C. Drovandi , James M. McGree

Likelihood-free approaches are appealing for performing inference on complex dependence models, either because it is not possible to formulate a likelihood function, or its evaluation is very computationally costly. This is the case for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Lídia M. André , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Raphaël Huser

Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

Bayesian inference in complex generative models is often obstructed by the absence of tractable likelihoods and the infeasibility of computing gradients of high-dimensional simulators. Existing likelihood-free methods for generalized…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-05 Diksha Bhandari , Sebastian Reich

While likelihood-based inference and its variants provide a statistically efficient and widely applicable approach to parametric inference, their application to models involving intractable likelihoods poses challenges. In this work, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-17 Francois-Xavier Briol , Alessandro Barp , Andrew B. Duncan , Mark Girolami

For many stochastic models of interest in systems biology, such as those describing biochemical reaction networks, exact quantification of parameter uncertainty through statistical inference is intractable. Likelihood-free computational…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-10 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

The use of standard statistical methods, such as maximum likelihood, is often justified based on their asymptotic properties. For suitably regular models, this theory is standard but, when the model is non-regular, e.g., the support depends…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-25 Ryan Martin , Yi Lin

Statistical models are often defined by a generative process for simulating synthetic data, but this can lead to intractable likelihoods. Likelihood free inference (LFI) methods enable Bayesian inference to be performed in this case.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 David Chen , Xinwei Li , Eui-Jin Kim , Prateek Bansal , David Nott

We pursue tractable Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models (GLMs) for categorical data. Thus far, GLMs are difficult to scale to more than a few dozen categories due to non-conjugacy or strong posterior dependencies when using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-02 Michael T. Wojnowicz , Shuchin Aeron , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes

This paper addresses the problem of making statistical inference about a population that can only be identified through classifier predictions. The problem is motivated by scientific studies in which human labels of a population are…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ciaran Evans , Zara Y. Weinberg , Manojkumar A. Puthenveedu , Max G'Sell

Linear mixed-effects models are widely used in analyzing repeated measures data, including clustered and longitudinal data, where inferences of both fixed effects and variance components are of importance. Unlike the fixed effect inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-31 J. Zhang , W. Guo , J. S. Carpenter , Andrew Leroux , K. R. Merikangas , N. G. Martin , I. B. Hickie , H. Shou , H. Li

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Community detection is one of the most important problems in network analysis. Among many algorithms proposed for this task, methods based on statistical inference are of particular interest: they are mathematically sound and were shown to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov

The discriminative approach to classification using deep neural networks has become the de-facto standard in various fields. Complementing recent reservations about safety against adversarial examples, we show that conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 William Wang , Angelina Wang , Aviv Tamar , Xi Chen , Pieter Abbeel