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We study the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector $X$ given a sample of $N$ independent, identically distributed points. We introduce a new estimator that achieves a purely sub-Gaussian performance under the only condition that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Gábor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

Gaussian processes are valuable tools for non-parametric modelling, where typically an assumption of stationarity is employed. While removing this assumption can improve prediction, fitting such models is challenging. In this work,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-02 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Lassi Roininen , Sara Wade , Theo Damoulas , Mark Girolami

The random trigonometric series $\sum_{n=1}^\infty \rho_n \cos (nt +\omega_n)$ on the circle $\mathbb{T}$ are studied under the conditions $\sum |\rho_n|^2=\infty$ and $\rho_n\to 0$, where $\{\omega_n\}$ are iid and uniformly distributed on…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Aihua Fan , Yve Meyer

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular statistical technique for stochastic function approximation and uncertainty quantification from data. GPs have been adopted into the realm of machine learning in the last two decades because of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Mark D. Risser

We give an efficient algorithm for robustly clustering of a mixture of two arbitrary Gaussians, a central open problem in the theory of computationally efficient robust estimation, assuming only that the the means of the component Gaussians…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-06-02 He Jia , Santosh Vempala

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

Gaussian random fields are popular models for spatially varying uncertainties, arising for instance in geotechnical engineering, hydrology or image processing. A Gaussian random field is fully characterised by its mean function and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Jonas Latz , Marvin Eisenberger , Elisabeth Ullmann

The perturbation theory with a variational basis is constructed and analyzed.The generalized Gaussian effective potential is introduced and evaluated up to the second order for selfinteracting scalar fields in one and two spatial…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-18 Paolo Cea , Luigi Tedesco

Multifractal systems usually have singularity spectra defined on bounded sets of H\"older exponents. As a consequence, their associated multifractal scaling exponents are expected to depend linearly upon statistical moment orders at high…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-30 L. Moriconi

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Within the Correlated Gaussian Method the parameters of the Gaussian basis functions are often chosen stochastically using pseudo-random sequences. We show that alternative low-discrepancy sequences, also known as quasi-random sequences,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-14 D. V. Fedorov

We introduce a new variational characterization of Gaussian diffusion processes as minimum uncertainty states. We then define a variational method constrained by kinematics of diffusions and Schr\"{o}dinger dynamics to seek states of local…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-09-06 F. Illuminati , L. Viola

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

We establish weak convergence of the empirical process on the spherical harmonics of a Gaussian random field in the presence of an unknown angular power spectrum. This result suggests various Gaussianity tests with an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Domenico Marinucci , Mauro Piccioni

This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

The article is devoted to a new type of measures which are hypercomplex generalizations of Gaussian-type measures. The considered such measures are related with solutions of high order hyperbolic PDEs and related Markov processes. Their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-18 S. V. Ludkowski

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

Coherence is a basic notion for quantum states. Instead of quantum states, in this work, We establish a resource theory for quantifying the coherence of Gaussian channels. To do this, we propose the definitions of incoherent Gaussian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-08-15 Jianwei Xu
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