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When a hidden Markov model permits the conditional likelihood of an observation given the hidden process to be zero, all particle simulations from one observation time to the next could produce zeros. If so, the filtering distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Anthony Lee

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

We study the filtering problem over a Lie group that plays an important role in robotics and aerospace applications. We present a new particle filtering algorithm based on stochastic control. In particular, our algorithm is based on a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Bo Yuan , Qinsheng Zhang , Yongxin Chen

In this paper, we consider the filtering problem for partially observed diffusions, which are regularly observed at discrete times. We are concerned with the case when one must resort to time-discretization of the diffusion process if the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Sampling from nonsmooth target probability distributions is essential in various applications, including the Bayesian Lasso. We propose a splitting-based sampling algorithm for the time-implicit discretization of the probability flow for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-14 Fuqun Han , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

We show that it is feasible to carry out exact Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian state space models using an adaptive Metropolis Hastings sampling scheme with the likelihood approximated by the particle filter. Furthermore, an adapyive…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-03 Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast, recursive algorithm that gives a smooth estimate of the mixing distribution under the general mixture model. However, the PR algorithm requires evaluation of a normalizing constant at each iteration.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-09 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

Monte Carlo methods are widely used in particle physics to integrate and sample probability distributions (differential cross sections or decay rates) on multi-dimensional phase spaces. We present a Neural Network (NN) algorithm optimized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Matthew D. Klimek , Maxim Perelstein

The ability to track a moving vehicle is of crucial importance in numerous applications. The task has often been approached by the importance sampling technique of particle filters due to its ability to model non-linear and non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Kira Kempinska , John Shawe-Taylor

In recent work (arXiv:1006.3100v1), we have presented a novel approach for improving particle filters for multi-target tracking. The suggested approach was based on drift homotopy for stochastic differential equations. Drift homotopy was…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Vasileios Maroulas , Panagiotis Stinis

Context: There is increasing need for good algorithms for modeling the aggregation and fragmentation of solid particles (dust grains, dust aggregates, boulders) in various astrophysical settings, including protoplanetary disks, planetary-…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Zsom , C. P. Dullemond

This paper focuses on designing a particle filter for randomly delayed measurements with an unknown latency probability. A generalized measurement model is adopted which includes measurements that are delayed randomly by an arbitrary but…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-03-22 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik , Paresh Date

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$) methods can be used for parameter inference of intractable likelihood state-space models. These methods replace the likelihood with an unbiased particle filter estimator, similarly to particle Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

Microscopy research often requires recovering particle-size distributions in three dimensions from only a few (10 - 200) profile measurements in the section. This problem is especially relevant for petrographic and mineralogical studies,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Ekaterina Poliakova

Learning-based methods commonly treat state estimation in robotics as a sequence modeling problem. While this paradigm can be effective at maximizing end-to-end performance, models are often difficult to interpret and expensive to train,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Lennart Röstel , Berthold Bäuml

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

A major challenge facing existing sequential Monte-Carlo methods for parameter estimation in physics stems from the inability of existing approaches to robustly deal with experiments that have different mechanisms that yield the results…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Christopher Granade , Nathan Wiebe

This article considers the application of particle filtering to continuous-discrete optimal filtering problems, where the system model is a stochastic differential equation, and noisy measurements of the system are obtained at discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-04-29 Simo Särkkä , Tommi Sottinen