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We show that the stochastic independence of real-valued random variables is equivalent to the conditional uncorrelation, where the conditioning takes place over the Cartesian products of intervals. Next, we express the mutual independence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Dawid Tarłowski

Finding parametric models that accurately describe the dependence structure of observed data is a central task in the analysis of time series. Classical frequency domain methods provide a popular set of tools for fitting and diagnostics of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Stefan Birr , Tobias Kley , Stanislav Volgushev

The bivariate copulas that describe the dependencies and partial dependencies of lagged variables in strictly stationary, first-order GARCH-type processes are investigated. It is shown that the copulas of symmetric GARCH processes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Alexandra Dias , Jialing Han , Alexander J. McNeil

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

Extremal dependence describes the strength of correlation between the largest observations of two variables. It is usually measured with symmetric dependence coefficients that do not depend on the order of the variables. In many cases,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Cristina Deidda , Sebastian Engelke , Carlo De Michele

Gaussian copulas are widely used in the industry to correlate two random variables when there is no prior knowledge about the co-dependence between them. The perturbed Gaussian copula approach allows introducing the skew information of both…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-10 Alberto Elices , Jean-Pierre Fouque

In many transcriptomic studies, the correlation of genes might fluctuate with quantitative factors such as genetic ancestry. We propose a method that models the covariance between two variables to vary against a continuous covariate. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tae Hyun Kim , Dan Nicolae

This paper conducts sensitivity analysis of random constraint and variational systems related to stochastic optimization and variational inequalities. We establish efficient conditions for well-posedness, in the sense of robust Lipschitzian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

This work addresses the optimal covariance control problem for stochastic discrete-time linear time-varying systems subject to chance constraints. Covariance steering is a stochastic control problem to steer the system state Gaussian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Kazuhide Okamoto , Maxim Goldshtein , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Victory Idowu

A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-12 Marius Hofert , Wayne Oldford , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Classical dependence measures such as Pearson correlation, Spearman's $\rho$, and Kendall's $\tau$ can detect only monotonic or linear dependence. To overcome these limitations, Szekely et al.(2007) proposed distance covariance as a…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-07 Arin Chaudhuri , Wenhao Hu

Mark-point dependence plays a critical role in research problems that can be fitted into the general framework of marked point processes. In this work, we focus on adjusting for mark-point dependence when estimating the mean and covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Ganggang Xu , Jingfei Zhang , Yehua Li , Yongtao Guan

Due to globalization and relaxed market regulation, we have assisted to an increasing of extremal dependence in international markets. As a consequence, several measures of tail dependence have been stated in literature in recent years,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

The transmission or reception of packets passing between computers can be represented in terms of time-stamped events and the resulting activity understood in terms of point-processes. Interestingly, in the disparate domain of neuroscience,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-28 Alex Gibberd , Jordan Noble , Edward Cohen

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch