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This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Langxuan Su , Sayan Mukherjee

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Maximum entropy models, motivated by applications in neuron science, are natural generalizations of the $\beta$-model to weighted graphs. Similar to the $\beta$-model, each vertex in maximum entropy models is assigned a potential parameter,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhao , Hong Qin

Parameter identification problems in partial differential equations (PDEs) consist in determining one or more functional coefficient in a PDE. In this article, the Bayesian nonparametric approach to such problems is considered. Focusing on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Matteo Giordano

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

A parameter estimation problem is considered, in which dispersed sensors transmit to the statistician partial information regarding their observations. The sensors observe the paths of continuous semimartingales, whose drifts are linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-01 Georgios Fellouris

Automated model discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) usually considers a single experiment or dataset to infer the underlying governing equations. In practice, experiments have inherent natural variability in parameters,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-25 Georges Tod , Gert-Jan Both , Remy Kusters

The purpose of this paper is to establish asymptotic behaviors of time-inhomogeneous multi-scale stochastic differential equations (SDEs). To achieve them, we analyze the evolution system of measures for time-inhomogeneous Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Xiaobin Sun , Jian Wang , Yingchao Xie

Existing methods for the estimation of stable distribution parameters, such as those based on sample quantiles, sample characteristic functions or maximum likelihood generally assume an independent sample. Little attention has been paid to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Adrian W. Barker

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the expectation of the maximum for a special assignment process with constant or i.i.d. coefficients. We show how it depends on the coefficients' distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

Asymptotic expansions for a wide class of distribution are studied. A simple method for computation of the series coefficients is suggested. The case when regularization parameter of the distribution depends on the asymptotic parameter is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Vladimir K. Petrov

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

This paper is mainly concerned with asymptotic studies of weighted bootstrap for u- and v-statistics. We derive the consistency of the weighted bootstrap u- and v-statistics, based on i.i.d. and non i.i.d. observations, from some more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M. Nasari

In this article we perform an asymptotic analysis of parallel Bayesian logspline density estimators. Such estimators are useful for the analysis of datasets that are partitioned into subsets and stored in separate databases without the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos , Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin Conlon

We consider the Bayesian nonparametric estimation of a nonlinear reaction function in a reaction-diffusion stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The likelihood is well-defined and tractable by the infinite-dimensional Girsanov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Randolf Altmeyer , Sascha Gaudlitz