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It is challenging to scale time series forecasting models such that they forecast accurately for multiple distinct domains and datasets, all with potentially different underlying collection procedures (e.g., sample resolution), patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Luke Darlow , Qiwen Deng , Ahmed Hassan , Martin Asenov , Rajkarn Singh , Artjom Joosen , Adam Barker , Amos Storkey

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic

In this paper we introduce a robust to outliers Wilcoxon change-point testing procedure, for distinguishing between short-range dependent time series with a change in mean at unknown time and stationary long-range dependent time series. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Carina Gerstenberger

Strong mixing property holds for a broad class of linear and nonlinear time series models such as ARMA and GARCH models. In this article we study correlation structure of strong mixing sequences, and some asymptotic properties are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Fatemeh Azizzadeh , Saeid Rezakhah

Regression analysis of correlated data, where multiple correlated responses are recorded on the same unit, is ubiquitous in many scientific areas. With the advent of new technologies, in particular high-throughput omics profiling assays,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Lu Xia , Ali Shojaie

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan

The field of quickest change detection (QCD) concerns design and analysis of algorithms to estimate in real time the time at which an important event takes place and identify properties of the post-change behavior. The goal is to devise a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Austin Cooper , Sean Meyn

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

We determine the scaling functions describing the crossover from Ising-like critical behavior to classical critical behavior in two-dimensional systems with a variable interaction range. Since this crossover spans several decades in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Erik Luijten , Henk W. J. Blöte , Kurt Binder

Subset-Sum is an NP-complete problem where one must decide if a multiset of $n$ integers contains a subset whose elements sum to a target value $m$. The best-known classical and quantum algorithms run in time $\tilde{O}(2^{n/2})$ and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-12 Jonathan Allcock , Yassine Hamoudi , Antoine Joux , Felix Klingelhöfer , Miklos Santha

Control charts, one of the main tools in Statistical Process Control (SPC), have been widely adopted in manufacturing sectors as an effective strategy for malfunction detection throughout the previous decades. Measurement errors (M.E's) are…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-14 Muhammad Imran , Jinsheng Sun , Fatima Sehar Zaidi , Zameer Abbas , Hafiz Zafar Nazir

This paper presents DRE-CUSUM, an unsupervised density-ratio estimation (DRE) based approach to determine statistical changes in time-series data when no knowledge of the pre-and post-change distributions are available. The core idea behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Sudarshan Adiga , Ravi Tandon

As the complexity of production processes increases, the diversity of data types drives the development of network monitoring technology. This paper mainly focuses on an online algorithm to detect serially correlated directed networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Miaomiao Yu , Yuhao Zhou , Fugee Tsung

For a spatiotemporal process $\{X_j(s,t) | ~s \in S~,~t \in T \}_{j =1, \ldots , n} $, where $S$ denotes the set of spatial locations and $T$ the time domain, we consider the problem of testing for a change in the sequence of mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Holger Dette , Pascal Quanz

Time series clustering is essential in scientific applications, yet methods for functional time series, collections of infinite-dimensional curves treated as random elements in a Hilbert space, remain underdeveloped. This work presents…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Angel Lopez-Oriona , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

Causal analyses of longitudinal data generally assume that the qualitative causal structure relating variables remains invariant over time. In structured systems that transition between qualitatively different states in discrete time steps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Ranjani Srinivasan , Jaron Lee , Rohit Bhattacharya , Narges Ahmidi , Ilya Shpitser

Electron transfer with changing occupation in the 4f subshell poses a considerable challenge for quantitative predictions in quantum chemistry. Using the example of cerium oxide, we identify the main deficiencies of common…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-12-07 Tobias Schäfer , Nathan Daelman , Núria López

Data-driven algorithm design is a promising, learning-based approach for beyond worst-case analysis of algorithms with tunable parameters. An important open problem is the design of computationally efficient data-driven algorithms for…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Maria-Florina Balcan , Christopher Seiler , Dravyansh Sharma

Estimation of the mean and covariance parameters for functional data is a critical task, with local linear smoothing being a popular choice. In recent years, many scientific domains are producing multivariate functional data for which $p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Alexander Petersen
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