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We provide upper and lower bounds for the mean ${\mathscr M}(H)$ of $\sup_{t\geqslant 0} \{B_H(t) - t\}$, with $B_H(\cdot)$ a zero-mean, variance-normalized version of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. We find…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Krzysztof Bisewski , Krzysztof Dębicki , Michel Mandjes

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

Let $\pa{X_{t}}_{t\in T}$ be a family of real-valued centered random variables indexed by a countable set $T$. In the first part of this paper, we establish exponential bounds for the deviation probabilities of the supremum $Z=\sup_{t\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Yannick Baraud

We consider the small deviation probabilities (SDP) for sums of stationary Gaussian sequences. For the cases of constant boundaries and boundaries tending to zero, we obtain quite general results. For the case of the boundaries tending to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

Given a bounded class of functions G and independent random variables X1, . . . , Xn, we provide an upper bound for the expectation of the supremum of the empirical process over elements of G having a small variance. Our bound applies in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Yannick Baraud

The main goal of this work is to provide sample-path estimates for the solution of slowly time-dependent SPDEs perturbed by a cylindrical fractional Brownian motion. Our strategy is similar to the approach by Berglund and Nader for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Nils Berglund , Alexandra Blessing

We derive an upper bound for the mean of the supremum of the empirical process indexed by a class of functions that are known to have variance bounded by a small constant $\delta$. The bound is expressed in the uniform entropy integral of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Aad van der Vaart , Jon A. Wellner

We obtain minimax-optimal convergence rates in the supremum norm, including information-theoretic lower bounds, for estimating the covariance kernel of a stochastic process which is repeatedly observed at discrete, synchronous design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of supremum distribution of some classes of iterated stochastic processes $\{X(Y(t)) : t \in [0, \infty)\}$, where $\{X(t) : t \in \mathbb{R} \}$ is a centered Gaussian process and $\{Y(t): t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Marek Arendarczyk

We obtain bounds for probabilities of deviations of the truncated variation functional of fractional Brownian motions (fBm) of any Hurst index $H \in (0,1)$ from their expected values. Obtained bounds are optimal for large values of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Witold M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski

We derive optimal rates of convergence in the supremum norm for estimating the H\"older-smooth mean function of a stochastic process which is repeatedly and discretely observed with additional errors at fixed, multivariate, synchronous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Max Berger , Philipp Hermann , Hajo Holzmann

We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-18 Frank Aurzada , Fuchang Gao , Thomas Kühn , Wenbo V. Li , Qi-Man Shao

We study fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by the Hurst exponent H. Using a Monte Carlo sampling technique, we are able to numerically generate fBm processes with an absorbing boundary at the origin at discrete times for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

We provide a detailed importance sampling analysis for variance reduction in stochastic volatility models. The optimal change of measure is obtained using a variety of results from large and moderate deviations: small-time, large-time,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Marc Geha , Antoine Jacquier , Zan Zuric

This work is concerned with the large deviation principle for a family of slow-fast systems perturbed by infinite-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac12,1)$. We adopt the weak convergence method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Wenting Xu , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang , Bin Pei

In this article we prove large deviations principles for high minima of Gaussian processes with nonnegatively correlated increments on arbitrary intervals. Furthermore, we prove large deviations principles for the increments of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Zachary Selk

We derive a new theoretical lower bound for the expected supremum of drifted fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$ over (in)finite time horizon. Extensive simulation experiments indicate that our lower bound outperforms…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Krzysztof Bisewski

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration inequalities and expectation bounds for the deviation of the sum of simple random tensors from its expectation. As part of our analysis, we use generic chaining techniques to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Omar Al-Ghattas , Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We consider the precise upper large deviations estimates for the maximal displacement of a branching random walk. In addition, we obtain a description of the extremal process of the branching random walk conditioned on this large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Lianghui Luo

We derive general results on the small deviation behavior for some classes of iterated processes. This allows us, in particular, to calculate the rate of the small deviations for $n$-iterated Brownian motions and, more generally, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits
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