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Uncertainty estimation is a key component in any deployed machine learning system. One way to evaluate uncertainty estimation is using "out-of-distribution" (OoD) detection, that is, distinguishing between the training data distribution and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Haiwen Huang , Joost van Amersfoort , Yarin Gal

We derive asymptotic normality of kernel type deconvolution estimators of the density, the distribution function at a fixed point, and of the probability of an interval. We consider the so called super smooth case where the characteristic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. J. van Es , H. -W. Uh

We consider drawing statistical inferences based on data subject to non-Gaussian measurement error. Unlike most existing methods developed under the assumption of Gaussian measurement error, the proposed strategy exploits hypercomplex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Nicholas W. Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang

In this paper we provide new methodology for inference of the geometric features of a multivariate density in deconvolution. Our approach is based on multiscale tests to detect significant directional derivatives of the unknown density at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-21 Konstantin Eckle , Nicolai Bissantz , Holger Dette

This work is focussed on the inversion task of inferring the distribution over parameters of interest leading to multiple sets of observations. The potential to solve such distributional inversion problems is driven by increasing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart

The classical condition on the existence of uniformly exponentially consistent tests for testing the true density against the complement of its arbitrary neighborhood has been widely adopted in study of asymptotics of Bayesian nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-01 Yang Xing

This paper addresses the deconvolution problem of estimating a square-integrable probability density from observations contaminated with additive measurement errors having a known density. The estimator begins with a density estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 David Kent , David Ruppert

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

Many high-dimensional data sets suffer from hidden confounding which affects both the predictors and the response of interest. In such situations, standard regression methods or algorithms lead to biased estimates. This paper substantially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Cyrill Scheidegger , Zijian Guo , Peter Bühlmann

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a non-homogeneous intensity function from the observation of n independent Poisson processes having a common intensity that is randomly shifted for each observed trajectory. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-20 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Thierry Klein , Clément Marteau

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be i.i.d. observations, where $X_i=Y_i+\sigma Z_i$ and $Y_i$ and $Z_i$ are independent. Assume that unobservable $Y$'s are distributed as a random variable $UV,$ where $U$ and $V$ are independent, $U$ has a Bernoulli…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-30 Bert van Es , Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Forzani Liliana , Fraiman Ricardo , Llop Pamela

Non-linear latent variable models have become increasingly popular in a variety of applications. However, there has been little study on theoretical properties of these models. In this article, we study rates of posterior contraction in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-26 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , David B. Dunson

Uncertainty estimation is an essential step in the evaluation of the robustness for deep learning models in computer vision, especially when applied in risk-sensitive areas. However, most state-of-the-art deep learning models either fail to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Lu Mi , Hao Wang , Yonglong Tian , Hao He , Nir Shavit

This paper develops a density deconvolution estimator that assumes the density of interest is a member of the generalized skew-symmetric (GSS) family of distributions. Estimation occurs in two parts: a skewing function, as well as location…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-07 Cornelis J. Potgieter

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang