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We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

Power-law tails are ubiquitous in income distributions and in the energy distributions of diluted relativistic gases. We analyze the conceptual link between these two cases. In economic interactions fat tails arise because the richest…

General Physics · Physics 2016-01-25 G. Modanese

Load forecasting at distribution networks is more challenging than load forecasting at transmission networks because its load pattern is more stochastic and unpredictable. To plan sufficient resources and estimate DER hosting capacity, it…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Hossein Sangrody , Ning Zhou , Xingye Qiao

To know the statistical distribution of a variable is an important problem in management of resources. Distributions of the power law type are observed in many real systems. However power law distributions have an infinite variance and thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha

In this paper we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Jingjing Zou , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

Distinguishing power-law distributions from other heavy-tailed distributions is challenging, and this task is often further complicated by subsampling effects. In this work, we evaluate the performance of two commonly used methods for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-09 Silja Sormunen , Lasse Leskelä , Jari Saramäki

In optical non-linear processes rogue waves can be observed, which can be mathematically described by heavy-tailed distributions. These distributions are special due to the fact that the probability of registering extremely high intensities…

Optics · Physics 2021-05-26 Éva Rácz , László Ruppert , Radim Filip

This paper presents a high-level description of the R software package mixdistreg to fit mixture of experts distributional regression models. The proposed framework is implemented in R using the deepregression software template, which is…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 David Rügamer

Power laws have been found to describe a wide variety of natural (physical, biological, astronomic, meteorological, geological) and man-made (social, financial, computational) phenomena over a wide range of magnitudes, although their…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Sam Ma

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

Consider a generic data unit of random size L that needs to be transmitted over a channel of unit capacity. The channel availability dynamics is modeled as an i.i.d. sequence {A, A_i},i>0 that is independent of L. During each period of time…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Predrag R. Jelenkovic , Jian Tan

Estimating sample size and statistical power is an essential part of a good study design. This R package allows users to conduct power analysis based on Monte Carlo simulations in settings in which consideration of the correlations between…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Phuc H. Nguyen , Stephanie M. Engel , Amy H. Herring

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

Multivariate GARCH models are important tools to describe the dynamics of multivariate times series of financial returns. Nevertheless, these models have been much less used in practice due to the lack of reliable software. This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-10 Jose A. Fioruci , Ricardo S. Ehlers , Francisco Louzada

If managers assume a normal or near-normal distribution of Information Technology (IT) project cost overruns, as is common, and cost overruns can be shown to follow a power-law distribution, managers may be unwittingly exposing their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Bent Flyvbjerg , Alexander Budzier , Jong Seok Lee , Mark Keil , Daniel Lunn , Dirk W. Bester

The present Letter, deals with the statistical theory [Phys. Rev. E {\bf 66}, 056125 (2002) and Phys. Rev E {\bf 72}, 036108 (2005)], which predicts the probability distribution $p(E) \propto \exp_{\kappa} (-I)$, where, $I \propto \beta E…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-19 G. Kaniadakis

We study the situations when the solution to a weighted stochastic recursion has a power law tail. To this end, we develop two complementary approaches, the first one extends Goldie's (1991) implicit renewal theorem to cover recursions on…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-30 Predrag R. Jelenkovic , Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

Identifying the generating mechanism of a network is challenging as, more often than not, only snapshots are available, but not the full evolution. One candidate for the generating mechanism is preferential attachment which, in its simplest…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Thomas Boughen , Clement Lee , Vianey Palacios Ramirez

Retransmission-based failure recovery represents a primary approach in existing communication networks that guarantees data delivery in the presence of channel failures. Recent work has shown that, when data sizes have infinite support,…

Performance · Computer Science 2014-05-12 Predrag R. Jelenković , Evangelia D. Skiani
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