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We investigate the emergence of complex dynamics in networks with heavy-tailed connectivity by developing a non-Hermitian random matrix theory. We uncover the existence of an extended critical regime of spatially multifractal fluctuations…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-09-23 Asem Wardak , Pulin Gong

Recent work in dynamical systems theory has shown that many properties that are associated with irreversible processes in fluids can be understood in terms of the dynamical properties of reversible, Hamiltonian systems. That is,…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 J. R. Dorfman

We consider a Markov modulated fluid network with a finite number of stations. We are interested in the tail asymptotics behavior of the stationary distribution of its buffer content process. Using two different approaches, we derive upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Masakiyo Miyazawa

Various kinematical quantities associated with the statistical properties of dynamical systems are examined: statistics of the motion, dynamical bases and Lyapunov exponents. Markov partitons for chaotic systems, without any attempt at…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 G. Gallavotti

We introduce simple conditions ensuring that invariant distributions of a Feller Markov chain on a compact Riemannian manifold are absolutely continuous with a lower semi-continuous, continuous or smooth density with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

It has been shown that some macroeconomic time series, especially those where outliers could be present, can be well modelled using heavy tailed distributions for the noise components. Methods for deciding when and where heavy-tailed models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. A. D. Aston

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We consider a multidimensional time-homogeneous dynamical system and add a randomly perturbed time-dependent deterministic signal to some of its components, giving rise to a high-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Simon Holbach

Interevent times in temporal contact data from humans and animals typically obey heavy-tailed distributions, and this property impacts contagion and other dynamical processes on networks. We theoretically show that distributions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Elohim Fonseca dos Reis , Naoki Masuda

Analysis of mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology often focuses on asymptotic dynamics, such as stable equilibria and periodic orbits. However, many systems exhibit long transient behaviors where certain aspects of the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Anthony Pasion , Felicia Magpantay

On the framework of the Linear Farmer's Model, we approach the indeterminacy of agents' behaviour by associating with each agent an unconditional probability for her to be active at each time step. We show that Pareto tailed returns can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Carvalho

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

A rigorous and largely self-contained account of (a) the bread-and-butter concepts and techniques in Markov chain theory and (b) the long-term behaviour of chains. As much as possible, the treatment is probabilistic instead of analytical (I…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Juan Kuntz

We consider here a recent conjecture stating that correlation functions and tail probabilities of finite time Lyapunov exponents would have the same power law decay in weakly chaotic systems. We demonstrate that this conjecture fails for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-12 Carlos J. A. Pires , Alberto Saa , Roberto Venegeroles

We consider random walks with finite second moment which drifts to $-\infty$ and have heavy tail. We focus on the events when the minimum and the final value of this walk belong to some compact set. We first specify the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

We study a random walk on a complex of finitely many half-lines joined at a common origin; jumps are heavy-tailed and of two types, either one-sided (towards the origin) or two-sided (symmetric). Transmission between half-lines via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Mikhail V. Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Andrew R. Wade

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

We study a random walk in random environment on the non-negative integers. The random environment is not homogeneous in law, but is a mixture of two kinds of site, one in asymptotically vanishing proportion. The two kinds of site are (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-28 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We propose a notion of random horseshoe for one-dimensional random dynamical systems. We prove the abundance of random horseshoes for a class of circle endomorphisms subject to additive noise, large enough to make the Lyapunov exponent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Giuseppe Tenaglia , Dmitry Turaev

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf