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Related papers: Distribution System Load and Forecast Model

200 papers

Given the complexity of power systems, particularly the high-dimensional variability of net loads, accurately depicting the entire operational range of net loads poses a challenge. To address this, recent methodologies have sought to gauge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Xinyi Zhao , Lei Fan , Fei Ding , Weijia Liu , Chaoyue Zhao

This paper investigates an expected average error for distributed averaging problems under asynchronous updates. The asynchronism in this context implies no existence of a global clock as well as random characteristics in communication…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Kooktae Lee

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

We study the averaging-based distributed optimization solvers over random networks. We show a general result on the convergence of such schemes using weight-matrices that are row-stochastic almost surely and column-stochastic in expectation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Adel Aghajan , Behrouz Touri

Cold standby 1-out-of-n redundant systems are well-established models in system reliability engineering. To date, reliability analyses of such systems have predominantly assumed exponential, Erlang, or Weibull failure distributions for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-30 Afshin Yaghoubi , Esmaile Khorram , Omid Naghshineh Arjmand

Limited visibility of distribution network power flows at the low voltage level presents challenges to both distribution network operators from a planning perspective and distribution system operators from a congestion management…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Alistair Brash , Junyi Lu , Bruce Stephen , Blair Brown , Robert Atkinson , Craig Michie , Fraser MacIntyre , Christos Tachtatzis

Sparsity, defined as the presence of missing or zero values in a dataset, often poses a major challenge while operating on real-life datasets. Sparsity in features or target data of the training dataset can be handled using various…

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

To facilitate load balancing, distributed systems store data redundantly. We evaluate the load balancing performance of storage schemes in which each object is stored at $d$ different nodes, and each node stores the same number of objects.…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Mehmet Fatih Aktas , Amir Behrouzi-Far , Emina Soljanin , Philip Whiting

Assuming an exponential power distribution is one way to deal with outliers in regression and clustering, which can increase the robustness of the analysis. Gaussian distribution is a special case of an exponential distribution. And an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Xiao Chen

Load forecasting at distribution networks is more challenging than load forecasting at transmission networks because its load pattern is more stochastic and unpredictable. To plan sufficient resources and estimate DER hosting capacity, it…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Hossein Sangrody , Ning Zhou , Xingye Qiao

Low-to-medium voltage distribution networks are experiencing rising levels of distributed energy resources, including renewable generation, along with improved sensing, communication, and automation infrastructure. As such, state estimation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Thiagarajan Ramachandran , Andrew Reiman , Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Mark Rice , Soumya Kundu

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Nishant Gadde , Yoshua Alexander , Sarvesh Parthasarthy , Arman Allidina

The emulation of wireless nodes spatial position is a practice used by deployment engineers and network planners to analyze the characteristics of a network. In particular, nodes geolocation will directly impact factors such as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Mouhamed Abdulla , Yousef R. Shayan

The expansion of residential demand response programs and increased deployment of controllable loads will require accurate appliance-level load modeling and forecasting. This paper proposes a conditional hidden semi-Markov model to describe…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-10 Yuting Ji , Elizabeth Buechler , Ram Rajagopal

A basic model of a dynamical distribution network is considered, modeled as a directed graph with storage variables corresponding to every vertex and flow inputs corresponding to every edge, subject to unknown but constant inflows and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Jieqiang Wei , Arjan van der Schaft

State estimation allows to monitor power networks, exploiting field measurements to derive the most likely grid state. In the literature, measurement errors are usually assumed to follow zero-mean Gaussian distributions; however, it has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Marta Vanin , Tom Van Acker , Reinhilde D'hulst , Dirk Van Hertem

The proliferation of intermittent distributed renewable energy sources (RES) in modern power systems has fundamentally compromised the reliability and accuracy of deterministic net load forecasting. Generative models, particularly diffusion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Yixiang Huang , Jianhua Pei , Luocheng Chen , Zhenchang Du , Jinfu Chen , Zirui Peng

We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest