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Related papers: Bayesian Model for Multiple Change-points Detectio…

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We study multiple change-points detection using multi-samples tests based on U-statistics for absolutely regular observations. Our results extend those of Ngatchou-Wandji et al. (2022) concerned with the study of one single changepoint. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji , Echarif Elharfaoui , Michel Harel

Although the applications of Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes to model and study the threshold overshoots of interest in different time series of measurements have proven to provide good results, they needed to be complemented with an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-15 Biviana Marcela Suárez-Sierra , Arrigo Coen , Carlos Alberto Taimal

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

This paper is a note on the use of Bayesian nonparametric mixture models for continuous time series. We identify a key requirement for such models, and then establish that there is a single type of model which meets this requirement. As it…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-22 Gyorgy H. Terdik , Stergios B. Fotopoulos , Venkata K. Jandhyala

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

Motivated by an increasing demand for models that can effectively describe features of complex multivariate time series, e.g. from sensor data in biomechanics, motion analysis, and sports science, we introduce a novel state-space modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alice Giampino , Bernardo Nipoti , Marina Vannucci , Michele Guindani

While many methods are available to detect structural changes in a time series, few procedures are available to quantify the uncertainty of these estimates post-detection. In this work, we fill this gap by proposing a new framework to test…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-16 Sean Jewell , Paul Fearnhead , Daniela Witten

This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-18 Alireza Ahrabian

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

Time series segmentation, a.k.a. multiple change-point detection, is a well-established problem. However, few solutions are designed specifically for high-dimensional situations. In this paper, our interest is in segmenting the second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

Multivariate time series can often have a large number of dimensions, whether it is due to the vast amount of collected features or due to how the data sources are processed. Frequently, the main structure of the high-dimensional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Euan Thomas McGonigle , Hankui Peng

The problem of detecting changes with multiple sensors has received significant attention in the literature. In many practical applications such as critical infrastructure monitoring and modeling of disease spread, a useful change…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Mehmet Necip Kurt , Xiaodong Wang

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

When analysing multiple time series that may be subject to changepoints, it is sometimes possible to specify a priori, by means of a graph, which pairs of time series are likely to be impacted by simultaneous changepoints. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Melissa J. M. Turcotte

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Change-point models are frequently considered when modeling phenomena where a regime shift occurs at an unknown time. In ageing research, these models are commonly adopted to estimate of the onset of cognitive decline. Yet commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Fernando Massa , Marco Scavino , Graciela Muniz-Terrera