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Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

We establish tightness of graph-based stochastic processes in the space $D[0+\epsilon,1-\epsilon]$ with $\epsilon >0$ that allows for discontinuities of the first kind. The graph-based stochastic processes are based on statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Time series datasets often contain heterogeneous signals, composed of both continuously changing quantities and discretely occurring events. The coupling between these measurements may provide insights into key underlying mechanisms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Shervin Safavi , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve

We define dynamic treatment regimes and associated potential outcomes for data described by marked point processes (MPPs). These definitions motivate MPP analogues of the commonly used consistency, exchangeability, and positivity conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland

This paper discusses and analyzes various models of binary correlated sources, which may be relevant in several distributed communication scenarios. These models are statistically characterized in terms of joint Probability Mass Function…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Marco Martalo' , Riccardo Raheli

We propose a discrete transition-based reweighting analysis method (dTRAM) for analyzing configuration-space-discretized simulation trajectories produced at different thermodynamic states (temperatures, Hamiltonians, etc.) dTRAM provides…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-23 Hao Wu , Antonia S. J. S. Mey , Edina Rosta , Frank Noé

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…

A new class of models for dynamic networks is proposed, called mutually exciting point process graphs (MEG). MEG is a scalable network-wide statistical model for point processes with dyadic marks, which can be used for anomaly detection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Francesco Sanna Passino , Nicholas A. Heard

The histogram reweighting technique, widely used to analyze Monte Carlo data, is shown to be applicable to dynamic properties obtained from Molecular Dynamics simulations. The theory presented here is based on the fact that the correlation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Carlos Nieto-Draghi , Javier Perez-Pellitero , Josep Bonet Avalos

The potential applications of boundary functionals of random processes, such as the extreme values of these processes, the moment of first reaching a fixed level, the value of the process at the moment of reaching the level, the moment of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-15 V. V. Ryazanov

We present a machine learning model for the analysis of randomly generated discrete signals, modeled as the points of an inhomogeneous, compound Poisson point process. Like the wavelet scattering transform introduced by Mallat, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Michael Perlmutter , Jieqian He , Matthew Hirn

Mark-point dependence plays a critical role in research problems that can be fitted into the general framework of marked point processes. In this work, we focus on adjusting for mark-point dependence when estimating the mean and covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Ganggang Xu , Jingfei Zhang , Yehua Li , Yongtao Guan

We prove a general inequality on $\beta$-mixing coefficients of point processes depending uniquely on their $n$-th order intensity functions. We apply this inequality in the case of determinantal point processes and show that the rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Arnaud Poinas

In $M$-estimation under standard asymptotics, the weak convergence combined with the polynomial type large deviation estimate of the associated statistical random field Yoshida (2011) provides us with not only the asymptotic distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Hiroki Masuda , Yusuke Shimizu

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

Let $X=\{X_t: t\ge 0\}$ be a stationary piecewise continuous $\R^d$-valued process that moves between jumps along the integral curves of a given continuous vector field, and let $S\subset\R^d$ be a smooth surface. The aim of this paper is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-21 K. A. Borovkov , G. Last

Nonparametric cointegrating regression models have been extensively used in financial markets, stock prices, heavy traffic, climate data sets, and energy markets. Models with parametric regression functions can be more appealing in practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Sepideh Mosaferi , Mark S. Kaiser , Daniel J. Nordman

Multivariate point processes are widely applied to model event-type data such as natural disasters, online message exchanges, financial transactions or neuronal spike trains. One very popular point process model in which the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

We propose an analytic approach for the steady-state dynamics of Markov processes on locally tree-like graphs. It is based on time-translation invariant probability distributions for edge trajectories, which we encode in terms of infinite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Stefano Crotti , Thomas Barthel , Alfredo Braunstein
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