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Recently Belopolskaya and Suhov studied Markov process's in a random environment, where the environment changes in likeness to a Markov process. Constructions were made to allow the process to "interact with the environment", this was done…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Anirban Das

We introduce the problem of formally verifying properties of Markov processes where the parameters are given by the output of machine learning models. For a broad class of machine learning models, including linear models, tree-based models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Muhammad Maaz , Timothy C. Y. Chan

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

Stochastic models for performance analysis, optimization and control of queues hinge on a multitude of alternatives for input point processes. In case of bursty traffic, one very popular model is the \textit{Markov Modulated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Azam Asanjarani , Sophie Hautphenne , Yoni Nazarathy

We study properties of a subclass of Markov processes that have all moments that are continuous functions of the time parameter and more importantly are characterized by the property that say their $n-$th conditional moment given the past…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Paweł J. Szabłowski

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We introduce a family of Markov processes on set partitions with a bounded number of blocks, called Lipschitz partition processes. We construct these processes explicitly by a Poisson point process on the space of Lipschitz continuous maps…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Harry Crane

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

Iteration of randomly chosen quadratic maps defines a Markov process: X_{n+1}=\epsilon_{n+1}X_n(1-X_n), where \epsilon_n are i.i.d. with values in the parameter space [0,4] of quadratic maps F_{\theta}(x)=\theta x(1-x). Its study is of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rabi Bhattacharya , Mukul Majumdar

We introduce a new version of particle filter in which the number of "children" of a particle at a given time has a Poisson distribution. As a result, the number of particles is random and varies with time. An advantage of this scheme is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-05 Tomasz Cąkała , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

Parametric Markov chains (pMCs) are Markov chains (MCs) with symbolic probabilities. A pMC encodes a family of MCs, where each member is obtained by replacing parameters with constants. The parameters allow encoding dependencies between…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Linus Heck , Tim Quatmann , Jip Spel , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Sebastian Junges

A multiplicative cascade can be thought of as a randomization of a measure on the boundary of a tree, constructed from an iid collection of random variables attached to the tree vertices. Given an initial measure with certain regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Tom Alberts , Ben Rifkind

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

We study the asymptotic properties, in the weak sense, of regenerative processes and Markov renewal processes. For the latter, we derive both renewal-type results, also concerning the related counting process, and ergodic-type ones,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Andrea Pedicone , Fabrizio Cinque

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu

We study a family of Markov processes on $\mathcal{P}^{(k)}$, the space of partitions of the natural numbers with at most $k$ blocks. The process can be constructed from a Poisson point process on…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-14 Harry Crane

Processes having the same bridges are said to belong to the same reciprocal class. In this article we analyze reciprocal classes of Markov counting processes by identifying their reciprocal invariants and we characterize them as the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard , Rüdiger Murr , Sylvie Roelly

We consider a risk model with a counting process whose intensity is a Markovian shot-noise process, to resolve one of the disadvantages of the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, namely the constant jump intensity of the Poisson process. Due to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

Motivated by Alain-Sol Sznitman's interlacement process, we consider the set of $\{0,1\}$-valued processes which can be constructed in an analogous way, namely as a union of sets coming from a Poisson process on a collection of sets. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Malin P. Forsström , Nina Gantert , Jeffrey E. Steif

A random number of items each independently marked with one of a collection of colours gives rise to the multinomial marking, which generalises binomial thinning. A multivariate version, where previously marked items are then re-marked, has…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Matthew Aldridge